Methodology

Holder IQ

Measuring institutional skill from 13F filings so you can see when high-IQ managers are accumulating, trimming, or exiting your positions.

What is Holder IQ?

A skill score (0-100) for institutional managers derived from 13F filings. We measure whether the funds holding a stock historically add alpha after controlling for market and style factors.

Data Pipeline

  • Ingest all 13F filings via SEC EDGAR within minutes of posting
  • Normalize CUSIP/ISIN to tickers; join to our securities master
  • Track quarterly position deltas (entries, adds, trims, exits)
  • Forward returns window: 1, 3, and 6 months after each filing
  • Factor-adjust returns using our 18-factor model (Barra-inspired)

Scoring Formula (per manager)

We compute alpha on each disclosed position, aggregate by manager, then convert to a percentile-based score.

  • Alpha Percentile (35% weight): risk-adjusted forward return vs. peers
  • Win Rate (20%): share of positions with positive factor-adjusted return
  • Sharpe (20%): return per unit volatility on disclosed positions
  • Consistency (15%): lower variance of alpha across quarters
  • Crowding Penalty (10%): discount if holdings are heavily crowded

Security-Level Signals

  • Holder IQ Score: weighted average of top-decile managers holding the stock
  • Momentum: net shares added/trimmed by high-IQ managers last quarter
  • Entry/Exit Pressure: count of top-decile entrants vs. exits
  • Crowding: percentile of institutional ownership vs. peers

Aggregation Logic

  • We only include managers with ≥8 quarters of history and ≥15 holdings
  • Scores are liquidity-adjusted (larger, more liquid names weigh more)
  • Recency weighting: last 2 quarters = 60% of score
  • Sector/Style neutrality to avoid over-crediting category beta

Limitations & Caveats

  • 13F is T+45 days: signals are delayed vs. real-time trades
  • No short positions in 13F; we treat exits as neutral unless high conviction
  • Non-US and derivatives exposure not captured
  • Extreme portfolio turnover can inflate win rate; mitigated via consistency weight

How We Use It in Midas Edge

  • Attention Queue: exit pressure and crowding spikes surface as alerts
  • Portfolio View: Holder IQ overlay on each position with entry/exit flags
  • Watchlists: “smart money momentum” badge when top-decile funds add

Methodology version

v0.3 — Updated Dec 2025. We revise weights as new validation results arrive.

Feedback or questions? Email methodology@midas-edge.com.

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