ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
For the period ended Jun 30, 2025. Filed Aug 8, 2025.
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A company's report for each of its first three quarters. The financial statements are not audited. It shows how the business has moved since the last annual report, and what management says changed.
Jun 30, 2025 · Filed Aug 8, 2025
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Insurance Subsidiaries
The Company has several insurance subsidiaries. AG is an insurance subsidiary domiciled in Maryland. As of August 1, 2024, AG owns: (i) AGUK, an insurance subsidiary domiciled in the U.K.; and (ii) AGE, an insurance company domiciled in France. Until August 1, 2024, AGM was an insurance subsidiary of the Company domiciled in New York. See “— Overview — Key Business Strategies — Merger of the U.S. Insurance Subsidiaries” above. AGUK and AGE are collectively referred to as the European Insurance Subsidiaries. AG Re is an insurance company domiciled in Bermuda that owns AGRO, an insurance company that is also domiciled in Bermuda.
Sources and Uses of Funds
Liquidity of the insurance subsidiaries is primarily used to pay for:
operating expenses,
claims on the insured portfolio,
dividends or other distributions to parent,
reinsurance premiums,
expansion of the insurance business, and
capital investments in their own subsidiaries and in alternative investments.
Management believes that the insurance subsidiaries’ liquidity needs for the next twelve months can be met from current cash, short-term investments and operating cash flow, including premium collections and coupon payments as well as scheduled maturities and paydowns from their respective investment portfolios. The Company generally targets a balance of its most liquid assets including cash and short-term securities, U.S. Treasuries, agency RMBS and pre-refunded municipal bonds equal to 1.5 times its projected operating company cash flow needs over the next four quarters. As of June 30, 2025, the
Company intended to hold and had the ability to hold securities in an unrealized loss position until the date of anticipated recovery of amortized cost.
Beyond the next twelve months, the ability of the operating subsidiaries to declare and pay dividends may be influenced by a variety of factors, including market conditions, general economic conditions and, in the case of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries, insurance regulations and rating agency capital requirements.
Financial Guaranty Policies
Insurance policies issued provide, in general, that payments of principal, interest and other amounts insured may not be accelerated by the holder of the obligation. Amounts paid by the Company therefore are typically in accordance with the obligation’s original payment schedule, unless the Company accelerates such payment schedule, at its sole option. Premiums received on financial guaranty contracts are paid either upfront or in installments over the life of the insured obligations.
Payments made in settlement of the Company’s obligations arising from its insured portfolio may, and often do, vary significantly from year to year, depending primarily on the frequency and severity of payment defaults and whether the Company chooses to accelerate its payment obligations in order to mitigate future losses. For example, the Company made substantial claim payments in 2022 and 2024 in connection with the resolution of certain defaulting Puerto Rico credits. The Company is continuing its efforts to resolve the one remaining unresolved Puerto Rico insured exposure that is in payment default, PREPA. The Company had $532 million in insured net par outstanding of PREPA obligations as of June 30, 2025. For more information, see Item 1, Financial Statements, Note 4, Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered).
The terms of the Company’s credit default swap (CDS) contracts generally are modified from standard CDS contract forms approved by International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Inc. such that the circumstances giving rise to the Company’s obligation to make loss payments are similar to those for its financial guaranty insurance contracts. The documentation for certain CDS was negotiated to require the Company to also pay if the obligor were to become bankrupt or if the reference obligation were restructured. Furthermore, some CDS documentation requires the Company to make a payment due to an event that is unrelated to the performance of the obligation referenced in the credit derivative. If events of default or termination events specified in the credit derivative documentation were to occur, the Company may be required to make a cash termination payment to its swap counterparty upon such termination. Any such payment would probably occur prior to the maturity of the reference obligation and be in an amount larger than the amount due for that period on a “pay-as-you-go” basis.
Ordinary Dividends From Insurance Subsidiaries to Holding Companies
The Company anticipates that, for the next twelve months, amounts paid by AGL’s direct and indirect insurance subsidiaries as dividends or other distributions will be a major source of the holding companies’ liquidity. The insurance subsidiaries’ ability to pay dividends depends upon their financial condition, results of operations, cash requirements, other potential uses for such funds and compliance with rating agency requirements, and is also subject to restrictions contained in the insurance laws and related regulations of their states of domicile. For more information, see Part II, Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, Note 14, Insurance Company Regulatory Requirements, of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024 for a discussion of the Company’s dividend restrictions applicable to AG, AG Re and AGRO.
Dividend restrictions by insurance subsidiary are as follows:
Under Maryland’s insurance law, AG may, with prior notice to the Commissioner of its domiciliary regulator, the MIA, pay an ordinary dividend in an amount that, together with all dividends and distributions paid in the prior 12 months, does not exceed the lesser of 10% of its policyholders’ surplus (as of the prior December 31) or 100% of its adjusted net investment income during that period. “Adjusted net investment income” means the sum of (x) AG’s net investment income during the 12-month period ending December 31 of the preceding year (excluding realized capital gains and pro rata distributions of its own securities), and (y) AG’s net investment income (excluding realized capital gains) from the three calendar years prior to the preceding calendar year that has not already been paid out as dividends. The maximum amount available during 2025 for AG to distribute as ordinary dividends is approximately $287 million. Such payments would be payable in the second half of 2025 because AG’s ordinary dividends were concentrated in the second half of 2024 following the August 1, 2024, merger of AGM with and into AG. However, in order to enable AG to make payments over the course of the year, AG has put in place for 2025 a quarterly process with the MIA, pursuant to which AG will confirm that the MIA does not object to AG dividending $71.8 million (i.e., 25%) of the $287 million amount in each calendar quarter of 2025. Pursuant to this process, AG obtained the MIA’s non-objection to pay, and expects to pay, a $71.8 million dividend by August 22, 2025 (and previously obtained the MIA’s non-objection to pay, and paid, equivalent dividends on March 6, 2025 and May 19, 2025). See “– Overview – Key Business Strategies – Merger of the U.S. Insurance Subsidiaries.”
The Company expects the amount of dividends available for distribution by AG Re in 2025 to be approximately $232 million. Based on applicable law and regulations, in 2025 AG Re has the capacity to declare and pay dividends in an aggregate amount up to 25% of the prior year statutory surplus (i.e., up to $272 million); provided that such payment cannot exceed AG Re’s unencumbered assets ($232 million as of June 30, 2025) or its statutory surplus ($278 million as of June 30, 2025). Additionally, in 2025 AG Re can make capital distributions in an aggregate amount up to $129 million without the prior approval of the Bermuda Monetary Authority.
Ordinary Dividends
From Insurance Company Subsidiaries
to Holding Companies
| Second Quarter | Six Months | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2024 | 2025 | 2024 | |
| (in millions) | ||||
| Dividends declared by AG Re to AGL (1) | $50 | $— | $50 | $47 |
| Dividends declared by AG to U.S. Holding Companies (2) | 72 | 26 | 144 | 108 |
(1) In second quarter 2025, AG Re declared a dividend of $50 million and expects to pay the dividend in the third quarter of 2025.
(2) Prior to a reorganization of the Company’s U.S. corporate structure, AG had been directly owned by AGUS. As a result of the reorganization, effective as of August 1, 2024, AG is directly owned by AGMH, a subsidiary of AGUS.
Stock Redemption by Assured Guaranty Inc.
In July 2025, the MIA approved AG’s redemption of $250 million of its shares of common stock from AGMH. AG expects to redeem such shares in exchange for cash and alternative investments in the third quarter of 2025.
Committed Capital Securities
AG is party to an arrangement that enables it to access, at its discretion, up to $400 million of capital, at any time, and has the right to use such capital for any purpose, including to pay claims. See Item 1, Financial Statements, Note 9, Fair Value Measurement.
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