ASSURED GUARANTY LTD

7. Investments

The largest component of the investment portfolio is fixed-maturity securities, the majority of which are investment grade and managed by outside managers. The Company has established investment guidelines for these investment managers regarding credit quality, exposure to a particular sector and exposure to a particular obligor within a sector.

Carrying Value

(1) In the investment portfolio, the aggregate carrying value of Sound Point managed investments was $547 million and $569 million as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, respectively, excluding the Company’s ownership interest in Sound Point of $411 million and $418 million as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, respectively, and excluding certain investments in funds that are accounted for as CIVs.

As of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024,12.3% and 12.6% of available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities were either rated BIG or not rated, primarily consisting of Loss Mitigation Securities and collateralized loan obligation (CLO) equity tranches. As of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, the carrying value of Loss Mitigation Securities was $497 million and $479 million, respectively. As of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, the carrying value of CLO equity tranches was $240 million and $277 million, respectively. Fixed-maturity securities classified as trading securities primarily include contingent value instruments (CVIs) and are not rated.

The investment portfolio includes $892 million in alternative investments primarily consisting of (i) CLO equity securities classified as available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities, and (ii) $549 million of investments across various asset classes that are reported in other invested assets. In addition, as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, $39 million and $33 million, respectively, of the Company’s total alternative investments was invested in a Sound Point managed fund which was reported in “assets of CIVs,” “other liabilities” and “nonredeemable noncontrolling interests.” See Note 8, Financial Guaranty Variable Interest Entities and Consolidated Investment Vehicles. The Company’s alternative investment commitments as of March 31, 2025 include $608 million in unfunded commitments which together with its $892 million in funded commitments total $1.5 billion, including a $1 billion commitment to invest in Sound Point managed alternative investments.

Capital allocated to alternative investments was committed to several funds pursuing various strategies, including private healthcare investing, asset-based/specialty finance, CLOs, and middle market direct lending. See Note 1, Business and Basis of Presentation, for a description of the Company’s alternative investments agreement with Sound Point.

In addition to the commitments above, the Company has agreed to subscribe for liquidity bonds to be issued by a U.K. regulated utility to which it has insured exposure. As of March 31, 2025, the Company estimated that it would purchase approximately £110 million (or $142 million) in liquidity bonds under this commitment.

Accrued investment income, which is reported in “other assets,” was $67 million as of March 31, 2025 and $64 million as of December 31, 2024.

Available-for-Sale Fixed-Maturity Securities by Security Type

Available-for-Sale Fixed-Maturity Securities by Security Type

(1)Based on amortized cost.

(2)Includes securities issued by taxable universities and hospitals.

(3)U.S. government-agency obligations were approximately 68% of mortgage-backed securities as of both March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, based on fair value.

(4)Includes an investment in an affiliated entity with amortized cost of $41 million and fair value of $42 million as of both March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024.

Gross Unrealized Loss by Length of Time

for Available-for-Sale Fixed-Maturity Securities for Which a Credit Loss was Not Recorded

Gross Unrealized Loss by Length of Time

for Available-for-Sale Fixed-Maturity Securities for Which a Credit Loss was Not Recorded

(1) The number of securities does not add across because lots consisting of the same securities have been purchased at different times and appear in both categories above (i.e., less than 12 months and 12 months or more). If a security appears in both categories, it is counted only once in the total column.

The Company considered the credit quality, cash flows, interest rate movements, ability to hold a security to recovery and intent to sell a security in determining whether a security had a credit loss. The Company has determined that the unrealized losses recorded as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024 were primarily related to higher interest rates rather than credit quality. As of March 31, 2025, the Company did not intend to and was not required to sell investments in an unrealized loss position prior to expected recovery in value. As of March 31, 2025, of the securities in an unrealized loss position for which an allowance for credit loss was not recorded,371 securities had unrealized losses in excess of 10% of their carrying value, whereas as of December 31, 2024,438 securities had unrealized losses in excess of 10% of their carrying value. The total unrealized loss for these securities was $202 million as of March 31, 2025 and $223 million as of December 31, 2024.

The amortized cost and estimated fair value of available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities by contractual maturity as of March 31, 2025 are shown below. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties.

Distribution of Available-for-Sale Fixed-Maturity Securities by Contractual Maturity

Based on fair value, fixed-maturity securities, short-term investments and cash that are either held in trust for the benefit of third-party ceding insurers in accordance with statutory requirements, placed on deposit to fulfill state licensing requirements or otherwise pledged or restricted totaled $82 million as of March 31, 2025 and $79 million as of December 31, 2024. The investment portfolio also contains securities that are held in trust by certain AGL subsidiaries or are otherwise restricted for the benefit of other AGL subsidiaries in accordance with statutory and regulatory requirements with a fair value of $1,079 million and $1,135 million as of March 31, 2025 and December 31, 2024, respectively.

The components of income derived from the investment portfolio are presented in the following tables.

(1) Includes $7 million income on Loss Mitigation Securities for both first quarter 2025 and first quarter 2024.

(2) Fair value gains on trading securities pertaining to securities still held as of March 31, 2024 were $22 million for first quarter 2024.

Fair Value Gains (Losses) on Trading Securities

A majority of the trading securities are Puerto Rico CVIs. In 2022, as a result of the resolution of certain defaulting Puerto Rico exposures, the Company received Puerto Rico CVIs, along with other consideration. The CVIs are intended to provide creditors with additional recoveries tied to the outperformance of the Puerto Rico 5.5% sales and use tax receipts against May 2020 certified fiscal plan projections, subject to annual and lifetime caps. As of March 31, 2025, the remaining CVIs had a fair value of $115 million. The Company may sell in the future any CVIs it continues to hold.

Realized Investment Gains (Losses)

The table below presents the components of net realized investment gains (losses). Realized gains and losses on sales of investments are determined using the specific identification method.

(1) Change in the allowance for credit losses for all periods was primarily related to Loss Mitigation Securities.

The following table presents the roll forward of the allowance for the credit losses on available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities.

Roll Forward of Allowance for Credit Losses

for Available-for-Sale Fixed-Maturity Securities

The Company didnot purchase any securities with credit deterioration during the periods presented. Most of the Company’s securities with credit deterioration are Loss Mitigation Securities.