ASSURED GUARANTY LTD

The Company has several insurance subsidiaries. AG is an insurance subsidiary domiciled in Maryland. As of August 1, 2024, AG owns: (i) AGUK, an insurance subsidiary domiciled in the U.K; and (ii) AGE, an insurance company domiciled in France. Until August 1, 2024, AGM was an insurance subsidiary of the Company domiciled in New York. See “— Overview — Key Business Strategies — Merger of the U.S. Insurance Subsidiaries” above. AGUK and AGE are collectively referred to as the European Insurance Subsidiaries. AG Re is an insurance company domiciled in Bermuda that owns AGRO, an insurance company that is also domiciled in Bermuda.

Sources and Uses of Funds

Liquidity of the insurance subsidiaries is primarily used to pay for:

•operating expenses,

•claims on the insured portfolio,

•dividends or other distributions to parent,

•reinsurance premiums, and

•capital investments in their own subsidiaries and in alternative investments.

Management believes that the insurance subsidiaries’ liquidity needs for the next twelve months can be met from current cash, short-term investments and operating cash flow, including premium collections and coupon payments as well as scheduled maturities and paydowns from their respective investment portfolios. The Company generally targets a balance of its most liquid assets including cash and short-term securities, U.S. Treasuries, agency RMBS and pre-refunded municipal bonds equal to 1.5 times its projected operating company cash flow needs over the next four quarters. As of December 31, 2024, the Company intended to hold and had the ability to hold securities in an unrealized loss position until the date of anticipated recovery of amortized cost.

Beyond the next twelve months, the ability of the operating subsidiaries to declare and pay dividends may be influenced by a variety of factors, including market conditions, general economic conditions and, in the case of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries, insurance regulations and rating agency capital requirements.

Financial Guaranty Policies

Insurance policies issued provide, in general, that payments of principal, interest and other amounts insured may not be accelerated by the holder of the obligation. Amounts paid by the Company therefore are typically in accordance with the obligation’s original payment schedule, unless the Company accelerates such payment schedule, at its sole option. Premiums received on financial guaranty contracts are paid either upfront or in installments over the life of the insured obligations.

Payments made in settlement of the Company’s obligations arising from its insured portfolio may, and often do, vary significantly from year to year, depending primarily on the frequency and severity of payment defaults and whether the Company chooses to accelerate its payment obligations in order to mitigate future losses. For example, the Company made substantial claim payments in 2022 and 2024 in connection with the resolution of certain Puerto Rico credits. The Company is continuing its efforts to resolve the one remaining unresolved Puerto Rico insured exposure that is in payment default, PREPA. The Company had $532 million in insured net par outstanding of PREPA obligations as of December 31, 2024. For more information, see Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, Note 4, Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered), and Note 8, Financial Guaranty Variable Interest Entities and Consolidated Investment Vehicles.

The terms of the Company’s credit default swaps (CDS) contracts generally are modified from standard CDS contract forms approved by International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Inc. such that the circumstances giving rise to the Company’s obligation to make loss payments are similar to those for its financial guaranty insurance contracts. The documentation for certain CDS was negotiated to require the Company to also pay if the obligor were to become bankrupt or if the reference obligation were restructured. Furthermore, some CDS documentation requires the Company to make a payment due to an event that is unrelated to the performance of the obligation referenced in the credit derivative. If events of default or termination events specified in the credit derivative documentation were to occur, the Company may be required to make a cash termination payment to its swap counterparty upon such termination. Any such payment would probably occur prior to the maturity of the reference obligation and be in an amount larger than the amount due for that period on a “pay-as-you-go” basis.

The following table presents estimated probability weighted expected cash outflows under direct and assumed financial guaranty contracts, whether accounted for as insurance or credit derivatives, including claim payments under contracts in consolidated FG VIEs, as of December 31, 2024. This amount does not include amounts related to loss adjustment expenses. This amount is not reduced for cessions under reinsurance contracts or recoveries attributable to Loss Mitigation Securities. This amount includes any benefit anticipated from excess spread or other recoveries within the contracts but does not reflect any benefit for recoveries under breaches of representation and warranty. This amount also excludes estimated recoveries for past claims paid for policies in the public finance sector. See Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, Note 5, Contracts Accounted for as Insurance.

Estimated Expected Claim Payments

(Undiscounted)

Ordinary Dividends From Insurance Subsidiaries to Holding Companies

The Company anticipates that, for the next twelve months, amounts paid by AGL’s direct and indirect insurance subsidiaries as dividends or other distributions will be a major source of the holding companies’ liquidity. The insurance subsidiaries’ ability to pay dividends depends upon their financial condition, results of operations, cash requirements, other potential uses for such funds and compliance with rating agency requirements, and is also subject to restrictions contained in the insurance laws and related regulations of their states of domicile. For more information, see Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, Note 14, Insurance Company Regulatory Requirements.

Dividend restrictions by insurance subsidiary are as follows:

•The Company expects the amount of ordinary dividends available for distribution by AG in 2025 to be approximately $287 million. Such payments would be payable in the second half of 2025 because AG’s ordinary dividends were concentrated in the second half of 2024 following the August 1, 2024 merger of AGM with and into AG. Under Maryland’s insurance law, AG may make an ordinary dividend payment in 2025 only when such amount, together with other dividends and distributions paid in the prior 12 months, does not exceed its expected 2025 ordinary dividend capacity of $287 million (i.e., a 12-month look back of dividends and distributions). However, in order to enable AG to make payments over the course of the year, AG has put in place for 2025 a quarterly process with the MIA, pursuant to which AG will confirm that the MIA does not object to AG dividending $71.8 million (i.e., 25%) of the $287 million amount in each calendar quarter of 2025. Pursuant to this process, AG obtained the MIA’s non-objection to pay, and expects to pay, a $71.8 million dividend on March 7, 2025. See Part I, Item 1, Business - Regulation, and Part II, Item 7, Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Conditions and Results of Operations – Overview – Key Business Strategies – Merger of the U.S. Insurance Subsidiaries.

•The Company expects the amount of dividends available for distribution by AG Re in 2025 to be approximately $192 million. Based on applicable law and regulations, in 2025 AG Re has the capacity to declare and pay dividends in an aggregate amount up to 25% of the prior year statutory surplus (i.e., up to $272 million as of December 31, 2024); provided that such payment cannot exceed AG Re’s unencumbered assets ($192 million as of December 31, 2024) or its statutory surplus ($229 million as of December 31, 2024). Additionally, in 2025 AG Re can make capital distributions in an aggregate amount up to $129 million without the prior approval of the Authority.

Ordinary Dividends From Insurance Subsidiaries

to Holding Companies

(1) Prior to the merger of AGM with and into AG, with AG as the surviving company, AG had been directly owned by AGUS. As a result of the merger, effective as of August 1, 2024, AG is directly owned by AGMH, a subsidiary of AGUS.

Stock Redemptions by Insurance Subsidiaries

In May 2024, NYDFS approved, and AGM implemented, the redemption of approximately $100 million of AGM’s shares of common stock from AGMH.

In connection with the merger of AGM into AG, the MIA approved, and in third quarter of 2024 AG implemented, the redemption of approximately $300 million of AG’s shares of common stock from AGMH in exchange for cash of $167 million and the remainder in alternative investments.

AG is party to an arrangement that enables it to access, at its discretion, up to $400 million of capital, at any time, and has the right to use such capital for any purpose, including to pay claims. See Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, Note 9, Fair Value Measurement.