ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
For the period ended Dec 31, 2023. Filed Feb 28, 2024.
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FY2023 · Filed Feb 28, 2024
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Insured Portfolio
Financial Guaranty Exposure
The following tables present information in respect of the financial guaranty insured portfolio to supplement the disclosures and discussion provided in Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, Note 3, Outstanding Exposure.
The following table presents the financial guaranty portfolio by sector, net of cessions to reinsurers. It includes all financial guaranty contracts outstanding as of the dates presented, regardless of the form written (i.e., credit derivative form or traditional financial guaranty insurance form) or the applicable accounting model (i.e., insurance, derivative or FG VIE consolidation).
Net Par Outstanding by Sector
| As of December 31, 2023 | As of December 31, 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Sector · (in millions) | ||
| Public finance: | ||
| U.S. public finance: | ||
| General obligation | $74,609 | $71,868 |
| Tax backed | 33,060 | 33,752 |
| Municipal utilities | 29,300 | 26,436 |
| Transportation | 22,052 | 19,688 |
| Healthcare | 12,604 | 11,304 |
| Infrastructure finance | 8,796 | 6,955 |
| Higher education | 7,250 | 7,137 |
| Housing revenue | 1,152 | 959 |
| Investor-owned utilities | 329 | 332 |
| Renewable energy | 167 | 180 |
| Other public finance | 970 | 1,025 |
| Total U.S. public finance | 190,289 | 179,636 |
| Non-U.S public finance: | ||
| Regulated utilities | 20,545 | 17,855 |
| Infrastructure finance | 15,430 | 13,915 |
| Sovereign and sub-sovereign | 9,869 | 9,526 |
| Renewable energy | 2,030 | 2,086 |
| Pooled infrastructure | 1,133 | 1,081 |
| Total non-U.S. public finance | 49,007 | 44,463 |
| Total public finance | 239,296 | 224,099 |
| Structured finance: | ||
| U.S. structured finance: | ||
| Insurance securitizations | 4,379 | 3,879 |
| RMBS | 1,774 | 1,956 |
| Pooled corporate obligations | 631 | 625 |
| Financial products | 464 | 453 |
| Consumer receivables | 314 | 437 |
| Subscription finance facilities | 178 | 72 |
| Other structured finance | 892 | 806 |
| Total U.S. structured finance | 8,632 | 8,228 |
| Non-U.S. structured finance: | ||
| Subscription finance facilities | 444 | 219 |
| Pooled corporate obligations | 425 | 344 |
| RMBS | 252 | 263 |
| Other structured finance | 104 | 105 |
| Total non-U.S structured finance | 1,225 | 931 |
| Total structured finance | 9,857 | 9,159 |
| Total net par outstanding | $249,153 | $233,258 |
Second-to-pay insured par outstanding represents transactions the Company has insured that are already insured by another financial guaranty insurer and where the Company’s obligation to pay under its insurance of such transactions arises only if both the obligor on the underlying insured obligation and the primary financial guaranty insurer default. The Company underwrites such transactions based on the underlying insured obligation without regard to the primary financial guaranty insurer and internally rates the transaction the higher of the rating of the underlying obligation and the rating of the primary financial guarantor. The second-to-pay insured par outstanding as of both December 31, 2023 and 2022 was $4.3 billion.
The tables below show the Company’s ten largest U.S. public finance, U.S. structured finance and non-U.S. exposures by revenue source, excluding related authorities and public corporations, as of December 31, 2023.
Ten Largest U.S. Public Finance Exposures by Revenue Source
| Net Par Outstanding | Percent of Total U.S. Public Finance Net Par Outstanding | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|
| (dollars in millions) | |||
| New Jersey (State of) | $2,905 | 1.5% | BBB |
| Pennsylvania (Commonwealth of) | 2,196 | 1.1 | BBB+ |
| Metro Washington Airports Authority (Dulles Toll Road) | 1,633 | 0.9 | BBB+ |
| New York Metropolitan Transportation Authority | 1,481 | 0.8 | A- |
| New York Power Authority | 1,460 | 0.8 | AA- |
| Foothill/Eastern Transportation Corridor Agency, California | 1,326 | 0.7 | BBB+ |
| Alameda Corridor Transportation Authority, California | 1,309 | 0.7 | BBB+ |
| North Texas Tollway Authority | 1,295 | 0.7 | A+ |
| CommonSpirit Health, Illinois | 1,000 | 0.5 | A- |
| San Joaquin Hills Transportation, California | 988 | 0.5 | BBB |
| Total of top ten U.S. public finance exposures | $15,593 | 8.2% | |
Ten Largest U.S. Structured Finance Exposures
| Net Par Outstanding | Percent of Total U.S. Structured Finance Net Par Outstanding | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|
| (dollars in millions) | |||
| Private US Insurance Securitization | $1,100 | 12.7% | AA |
| Private US Insurance Securitization | 950 | 11.0 | A+ |
| Private US Insurance Securitization | 944 | 10.9 | AA- |
| Private US Insurance Securitization | 399 | 4.6 | AA- |
| Private US Insurance Securitization | 399 | 4.6 | AA- |
| Private US Insurance Securitization | 386 | 4.5 | AA- |
| SLM Student Loan Trust 2007-A | 163 | 1.9 | AA |
| Private Middle Market CLO | 129 | 1.5 | AAA |
| Private US Insurance Securitization | 125 | 1.5 | AA |
| DB Master Finance LLC | 119 | 1.4 | BBB |
| Total of top ten U.S. structured finance exposures | $4,714 | 54.6% | |
Ten Largest Non-U.S. Exposures
| Country | Net Par Outstanding | Percent of Total Non-U.S. Net Par Outstanding | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (dollars in millions) | ||||
| Southern Water Services Limited | United Kingdom | $2,409 | 4.8% | BBB |
| Thames Water Utilities Finance PLC | United Kingdom | 2,106 | 4.2 | BBB |
| Southern Gas Networks PLC | United Kingdom | 2,065 | 4.1 | BBB+ |
| Dwr Cymru Financing Limited | United Kingdom | 1,834 | 3.7 | A- |
| Anglian Water Services Financing PLC | United Kingdom | 1,732 | 3.4 | A- |
| National Grid Gas PLC | United Kingdom | 1,632 | 3.2 | A- |
| Quebec Province | Canada | 1,436 | 2.8 | AA- |
| Channel Link Enterprises Finance PLC | France, United Kingdom | 1,257 | 2.5 | BBB |
| Yorkshire Water Services Finance Plc | United Kingdom | 1,087 | 2.2 | BBB |
| British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) | United Kingdom | 1,042 | 2.1 | A+ |
| Total of top ten non-U.S. exposures | $16,600 | 33.0% | ||
Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Issue Size
The Company seeks broad coverage of the market by insuring and reinsuring small and large issues alike. The following tables set forth the distribution of the Company’s portfolio by original size of the Company’s exposure.
Public Finance Portfolio by Issue Size
| Original Par Amount Per Issue | Number ofIssues | Net ParOutstanding | % of PublicFinanceNet ParOutstanding |
|---|---|---|---|
| (dollars in millions) | |||
| Less than $10 million | 9,945 | $30,038 | 12.6% |
| $10 million through $50 million | 3,576 | 62,542 | 26.1 |
| $50 million through $100 million | 638 | 37,760 | 15.8 |
| $100 million to $200 million | 343 | 41,453 | 17.3 |
| $200 million or greater | 227 | 67,503 | 28.2 |
| Total | 14,729 | $239,296 | 100.0% |
Structured Finance Portfolio by Issue Size
| Original Par Amount Per Issue | Number ofIssues | Net ParOutstanding | % of StructuredFinanceNet ParOutstanding |
|---|---|---|---|
| (dollars in millions) | |||
| Less than $10 million | 103 | $90 | 0.9% |
| $10 million through $50 million | 139 | 1,033 | 10.4 |
| $50 million through $100 million | 53 | 1,248 | 12.7 |
| $100 million to $200 million | 54 | 1,990 | 20.2 |
| $200 million or greater | 83 | 5,496 | 55.8 |
| Total | 432 | $9,857 | 100.0% |
Exposure to Puerto Rico
The Company had insured exposure to obligations of various authorities and public corporations of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico (Puerto Rico or the Commonwealth) aggregating $1.1 billion net par outstanding as of
December 31, 2023, all of which was rated BIG. Beginning on January 1, 2016, a number of Puerto Rico exposures have defaulted on bond payments, and the Company has now paid claims on all of its Puerto Rico exposures except the Municipal Finance Agency (MFA), the Puerto Rico Aqueduct and Sewer Authority (PRASA), and the University of Puerto Rico (U of PR).
The following tables present information in respect of the Puerto Rico exposures to supplement the disclosures and discussions provided in “—Liquidity and Capital Resources—Insurance Subsidiaries, Financial Guaranty Policies” below and Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, Note 3, Outstanding Exposure.
Exposure to Puerto Rico by Company
| Net Par Outstanding | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGM | AGC | AG Re | Eliminations (1) | Total Net Par Outstanding | Gross Par Outstanding | |
| (in millions) | ||||||
| Defaulted Puerto Rico Exposures | ||||||
| PREPA | $377 | $67 | $180 | $— | $624 | $633 |
| Total Defaulted | 377 | 67 | 180 | — | 624 | 633 |
| Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures (2) | ||||||
| PRHTA (Transportation revenue) | 14 | 157 | 87 | (14) | 244 | 244 |
| PRHTA (Highway revenue) | 109 | 11 | 8 | — | 128 | 128 |
| Total Resolved | 123 | 168 | 95 | (14) | 372 | 372 |
| Other Puerto Rico Exposures (3) | ||||||
| MFA | 84 | 6 | 18 | — | 108 | 114 |
| PRASA and U of PR | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 |
| Total Other | 84 | 7 | 18 | — | 109 | 115 |
| Total exposure to Puerto Rico | $584 | $242 | $293 | $(14) | $1,105 | $1,120 |
(1) Net par outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary.
(2) Resolved pursuant to the 2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions. Consideration (e.g. Toll Bonds and CVIs) received under the HTA Plan related to the remaining insured exposure is reported in FG VIEs’ assets (see Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, Note 8, Financial Guaranty Variable Interest Entities and Consolidated Investment Vehicles).
(3) All debt service on these insured exposures have been paid to date without any insurance claim being made on the Company.
The following tables show the scheduled amortization of the various obligations of Puerto Rico’s authorities and public corporations insured by the Company. The Company guarantees payments of debt service when those amounts are scheduled to be paid and cannot be required to pay on an accelerated basis. In the event that obligors default on their obligations, the Company would only pay the shortfall between the debt service due in any given period and the amount paid by the obligors.
Amortization Schedule of Net Par of Puerto Rico
| Scheduled Net Par Amortization | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 -2033 | 2034 -2038 | 2039 -2041 | Total | |||||||
| (in millions) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Defaulted Puerto Rico Exposures | ||||||||||||||||||
| PREPA | $— | $— | $93 | $— | $68 | $105 | $105 | $68 | $176 | $9 | $— | $624 | ||||||
| Total Defaulted | — | — | 93 | — | 68 | 105 | 105 | 68 | 176 | 9 | — | 624 | ||||||
| Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures | ||||||||||||||||||
| PRHTA (Transportation revenue) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 127 | 117 | 244 | ||||||
| PRHTA (Highway revenue) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 44 | 84 | — | 128 | ||||||
| Total Resolved | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 44 | 211 | 117 | 372 | ||||||
| Other Puerto Rico Exposures | ||||||||||||||||||
| MFA | — | — | 16 | — | 16 | 35 | 15 | 13 | 13 | — | — | 108 | ||||||
| PRASA and U of PR | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | ||||||
| Total Other Puerto Rico Exposures | — | — | 17 | — | 16 | 35 | 15 | 13 | 13 | — | — | 109 | ||||||
| Total | $— | $— | $110 | $— | $84 | $140 | $120 | $81 | $233 | $220 | $117 | $1,105 | ||||||
Amortization Schedule of Net Debt Service of Puerto Rico
| Scheduled Net Debt Service Amortization | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 -2033 | 2034 -2038 | 2039 -2041 | Total | |||||||
| (in millions) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Defaulted Puerto Rico Exposures | ||||||||||||||||||
| PREPA | $12 | $3 | $105 | $3 | $92 | $126 | $122 | $80 | $199 | $9 | $— | $751 | ||||||
| Total Defaulted | 12 | 3 | 105 | 3 | 92 | 126 | 122 | 80 | 199 | 9 | — | 751 | ||||||
| Resolved Puerto Rico Exposures | ||||||||||||||||||
| PRHTA (Transportation revenue) | 6 | — | 6 | — | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 172 | 128 | 428 | ||||||
| PRHTA (Highway revenue) | 3 | — | 3 | — | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 76 | 93 | — | 203 | ||||||
| Total Resolved | 9 | — | 9 | — | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 141 | 265 | 128 | 631 | ||||||
| Other Puerto Rico Exposures | ||||||||||||||||||
| MFA | 3 | — | 19 | — | 20 | 39 | 17 | 14 | 13 | — | — | 125 | ||||||
| PRASA and U of PR | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | ||||||
| Total Other Puerto Rico Exposures | 3 | — | 20 | — | 20 | 39 | 17 | 14 | 13 | — | — | 126 | ||||||
| Total | $24 | $3 | $134 | $3 | $132 | $185 | $158 | $114 | $353 | $274 | $128 | $1,508 | ||||||
In the fourth quarter of 2023, all of the Toll Bonds in the Puerto Rico Trusts were called, resulting in cash proceeds of $154 million. Such cash proceeds comprise the vast majority of the assets in the Puerto Rico Trusts as of December 31, 2023. In January 2024, such proceeds were used to pay down a portion of the liabilities of the Puerto Rico Trusts. The remaining liabilities of the Puerto Rico Trusts will be paid by the U.S. Insurance Subsidiaries under their financial guaranty policies and are no longer dependent on the credit of PRHTA.
Financial Guaranty Exposure to U.S. RMBS
The following table presents information in respect of the U.S. RMBS exposures to supplement the disclosures and discussion provided in Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, Note 3, Outstanding Exposure, and Note 4, Expected Loss to be Paid (Recovered). U.S. RMBS exposures represent 0.7% of the total net par outstanding, and BIG U.S. RMBS represent 17.3% of total BIG net par outstanding as of December 31, 2023.
Distribution of U.S. RMBS by Year Insured and Type of Exposure as of December 31, 2023
| Year insured: | PrimeFirst Lien | Alt-AFirst Lien | OptionARMs | SubprimeFirst Lien | SecondLien | Total Net Par Outstanding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (in millions) | ||||||
| 2004 and prior | $8 | $7 | $— | $301 | $9 | $325 |
| 2005 | 21 | 110 | 14 | 178 | 40 | 363 |
| 2006 | 21 | 22 | 1 | 37 | 93 | 174 |
| 2007 | — | 179 | 15 | 554 | 134 | 882 |
| 2008 | — | — | — | 30 | — | 30 |
| Total exposures | $50 | $318 | $30 | $1,100 | $276 | $1,774 |
| Exposures rated BIG | $30 | $191 | $14 | $602 | $104 | $941 |
The text of this filing, as the company filed it with the SEC, without its images or exhibits. This is not investment advice.