ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
For the period ended Dec 31, 2023. Filed Feb 28, 2024.
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FY2023 · Filed Feb 28, 2024
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Financial Performance of Assured Guaranty
Financial Results
| Year Ended December 31, | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
| (in millions, except per share amounts) | |||
| GAAP | |||
| Net income (loss) attributable to AGL | $739 | $124 | $389 |
| Net income (loss) attributable to AGL per diluted share | $12.30 | $1.92 | $5.23 |
| Weighted average diluted shares | 59.6 | 63.9 | 74.3 |
| Non-GAAP | |||
| Adjusted operating income (loss) (1) | $648 | $267 | $470 |
| Adjusted operating income per diluted share | $10.78 | $4.14 | $6.32 |
| Weighted average diluted shares | 59.6 | 63.9 | 74.3 |
| Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income | $(21) | $(6) | $30 |
| Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating income per share | $(0.35) | $(0.10) | $0.41 |
| Components of total adjusted operating income (loss) | |||
| Insurance segment | $621 | $413 | $722 |
| Asset Management segment | 3 | (6) | (19) |
| Corporate division | 45 | (134) | (263) |
| Other (2) | (21) | (6) | 30 |
| Adjusted operating income (loss) | $648 | $267 | $470 |
| Insurance Segment | |||
| Gross written premiums (GWP) | $357 | $360 | $377 |
| Present value of new business production (PVP) (1) | 404 | 375 | 361 |
| Gross par written | 28,960 | 22,047 | 26,656 |
| As of December 31, 2023 · As of December 31, 2022 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amount · Per Share · Amount · Per Share | |||||
| (in millions, except per share amounts) | |||||
| Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL | $5,713 | $101.63 | $5,064 | $85.80 | |
| Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity (1) | 5,990 | 106.54 | 5,543 | 93.92 | |
| Adjusted book value (1) | 8,765 | 155.92 | 8,379 | 141.98 | |
| Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted operating shareholders’ equity | 5 | 0.07 | 17 | 0.28 | |
| Gain (loss) related to FG VIE and CIV consolidation included in adjusted book value | — | — | 11 | 0.19 | |
| Common shares outstanding (3) | 56.2 | 59.0 | |||
(1) See “— Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for a definition of the financial measures that were not determined in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP), a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure to the most directly comparable GAAP measure, if available, and for additional details.
(2) Relates to the effect of consolidating FG VIEs and CIVs.
(3) See “— Overview— Key Business Strategies – Capital Management” above for information on common share repurchases.
Consolidated Results of Operations
Consolidated Results of Operations
| Year Ended December 31, | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
| (in millions) | |||
| Revenues: | |||
| Net earned premiums | $344 | $494 | $414 |
| Net investment income | 365 | 269 | 269 |
| Asset management fees | 53 | 93 | 88 |
| Net realized investment gains (losses) | (14) | (56) | 15 |
| Fair value gains (losses) on credit derivatives | 114 | (11) | (58) |
| Fair value gains (losses) on CCS | (35) | 24 | (28) |
| Fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs | 8 | 22 | 23 |
| Fair value gains (losses) on CIVs | 88 | 17 | 127 |
| Foreign exchange gains (losses) on remeasurement | 53 | (112) | (23) |
| Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities | 74 | (34) | — |
| Gain on sale of asset management subsidiaries | 262 | — | — |
| Other income (loss) | 61 | 17 | 21 |
| Total revenues | 1,373 | 723 | 848 |
| Expenses: | |||
| Loss and LAE (benefit) | 162 | 16 | (220) |
| Interest expense | 90 | 81 | 87 |
| Loss on extinguishment of debt | — | — | 175 |
| Amortization of deferred acquisition cost (DAC) | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| Employee compensation and benefit expenses | 251 | 258 | 230 |
| Other operating expenses | 217 | 167 | 179 |
| Total expenses | 733 | 536 | 465 |
| Income (loss) before income taxes and equity in earnings (losses) of investees | 640 | 187 | 383 |
| Equity in earnings (losses) of investees | 28 | (39) | 94 |
| Income (loss) before income taxes | 668 | 148 | 477 |
| Less: Provision (benefit) for income taxes | (93) | 11 | 58 |
| Net income (loss) | 761 | 137 | 419 |
| Less: Noncontrolling interests | 22 | 13 | 30 |
| Net income (loss) attributable to Assured Guaranty Ltd. | $739 | $124 | $389 |
| Effective tax rate | (13.9)% | 7.2% | 12.2% |
Net income attributable to AGL in 2023 was higher compared with 2022 primarily due to the following:
the gain associated with the Sound Point Transaction and AHP Transaction, net of transaction expenses, of $222 million (pre-tax),
the benefit related to Bermuda tax law changes of $189 million,
foreign exchange remeasurement gains in 2023, compared with losses on 2022,
higher income from fixed-maturity and alternative investment portfolio,
fair value gains on credit derivatives in 2023 compared with losses in 2022, and
fair value gains on trading securities in 2023 compared with losses in 2022.
These increases were partially offset by:
lower net earned premiums in 2023 compared with 2022, which benefited from premium accelerations related to the 2022 Puerto Rico resolutions, and
higher loss and LAE in 2023 compared with 2022.
The Company’s effective tax rate reflects the proportion of income recognized by each of the Company’s operating subsidiaries, with U.S. subsidiaries generally taxed at the U.S. marginal corporate income tax rate of 21%, U.K. subsidiaries taxed at the U.K. marginal corporate tax rate of 19% prior to March 31, 2023 and 25% after April 1 2023, the French subsidiary taxed at the French marginal corporate tax rate of 25%, and no taxes for the Company’s Bermuda subsidiaries, unless subject to U.S. tax by election or as a U.S. controlled foreign corporation. In 2023, the Company also recognized a benefit of $189 million attributable to changes in Bermuda tax laws and a $19 million benefit related to a change in New York State tax law. See Part II, Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data, Note 14, Income Taxes.
Adjusted Operating Income
Adjusted operating income in 2023 was $648 million, compared with $267 million in 2022. The increase was primarily due to the gain associated with the Sound Point Transaction and AHP Transaction, the benefit attributable to Bermuda tax law changes, and fair value gains on trading securities, offset in part by higher loss expense and lower net earned premiums in 2023, compared with 2022 which included premium accelerations of $133 million related to the 2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions. See “— Results of Operations — Reconciliation to GAAP” for the reconciliation of net income (loss) attributable to AGL to adjusted operating income (loss).
Book Value and Adjusted Book Value
Shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL as of December 31, 2023 increased compared with December 31, 2022, due to net income and unrealized gains on investments, which was partially offset by dividends and share repurchases. Adjusted operating shareholders’ equity and adjusted book value increased primarily due to the gain on the Sound Point Transaction and AHP Transaction of $160 million after-tax and the benefit due attributable to Bermuda tax law change of $189 million, offset in part by dividends and share repurchases of $267 million, and in the case of adjusted book value, the increase was also primarily due to GWP of $357 million, partially offset by economic loss development of $164 million. See “— Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below for the reconciliation of shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL to adjusted operating shareholders' equity and adjusted book value.
On a per share basis, shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL, adjusted operating shareholders’ equity, and adjusted book value increased as of December 31, 2023 compared with December 31, 2022, due in part to the accretive effect of the share repurchase program. See “— Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for the reconciliation of shareholders’ equity attributable to AGL to adjusted operating shareholders' equity and adjusted book value.
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