As of Nov 13, 2026. At least 3 observations, ranked by Alpha IQ over 252 trading days. 810 eligible records before the optional luck filter.
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#1 Lawrence B. Seidman
19 buys · 0 sales · 252 trading days
Alpha IQ95.4
Why this rank?
17 of 19 worked
Unlikely under model
Unlikely under the luck model.
This rank comes from 19 purchases and 0 sales, measured over 252 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
19 trade dates · 2 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Bought BWFGMay 30, 2024$1,602
Stock +41.7%; recorded comparison +19.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +22.0%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 30, 2024 · $1,602 · Form 4Stock +41.7% versus the recorded factor comparison +19.7%.
Bought BWFGDec 6, 2024$7,567
Stock +49.2%; recorded comparison +39.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +9.6%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 6, 2024 · $7,567 · Form 4Stock +49.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +39.6%.
Bought BWFGSep 10, 2024$3,857
Stock +49.2%; recorded comparison +42.8%; outcome in the trade's direction +6.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 10, 2024 · $3,857 · Form 4Stock +49.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +42.8%.
Bought BWFGDec 14, 2023$15,455
Stock +8.2%; recorded comparison +18.5%; outcome in the trade's direction -10.2%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 14, 2023 · $15,455 · Form 4Stock +8.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +18.5%.
Bought BWFGMay 28, 2024$45,109
Stock +42.8%; recorded comparison +21.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +21.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 28, 2024 · $45,109 · Form 4Stock +42.8% versus the recorded factor comparison +21.4%.
Bought BWFGMay 22, 2024$486
Stock +44.9%; recorded comparison +21.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +23.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 22, 2024 · $486 · Form 4Stock +44.9% versus the recorded factor comparison +21.5%.
Bought BWFGSep 6, 2024$3,263
Stock +53.5%; recorded comparison +44.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +8.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 6, 2024 · $3,263 · Form 4Stock +53.5% versus the recorded factor comparison +44.9%.
Bought BWFGSep 11, 2024$3,924
Stock +43.7%; recorded comparison +38.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +5.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 11, 2024 · $3,924 · Form 4Stock +43.7% versus the recorded factor comparison +38.2%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001026081. Profile company CIK 0001505732. Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.
19 obs. Confidence 91; 252-day hit rate 89.5%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 78.4):
Past calls: 73% directionally correct over 3 months (adjusted toward 50% peer prior; 79% observed; recency-weighted sample 78.4)
Descriptive statistic of past trades, not a prediction
How to read these past calls · As of 2026-11-13
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 17 of 19 represented trade dates; upper tail 1.520e-6; corrected within the horizon 1.447e-3, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 4.700e-3. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 2 windows, with 1 wins and upper tail 5.806e-1.
This rank comes from 15 purchases and 0 sales, measured over 252 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
16 trade dates · 1 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Bought BEEPApr 16, 2024$4,258
Stock +17.2%; recorded comparison -48.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +65.6%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Apr 16, 2024 · $4,258 · Form 4Stock +17.2% versus the recorded factor comparison -48.4%.
Bought BEEPApr 18, 2024$112,677
Stock +28.9%; recorded comparison -42.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +71.0%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Apr 18, 2024 · $112,677 · Form 4Stock +28.9% versus the recorded factor comparison -42.1%.
Bought BEEPMay 3, 2024$1,957
Stock +14.0%; recorded comparison -45.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +59.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 3, 2024 · $1,957 · Form 4Stock +14.0% versus the recorded factor comparison -45.7%.
Bought BEEPMay 20, 2024$32,719
Stock +9.9%; recorded comparison -53.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +62.9%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 20, 2024 · $32,719 · Form 4Stock +9.9% versus the recorded factor comparison -53.1%.
Bought BEEPApr 25, 2024$350
Stock +5.0%; recorded comparison -46.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +51.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Apr 25, 2024 · $350 · Form 4Stock +5.0% versus the recorded factor comparison -46.7%.
Bought BEEPApr 24, 2024$5,342
Stock +14.8%; recorded comparison -43.3%; outcome in the trade's direction +58.0%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Apr 24, 2024 · $5,342 · Form 4Stock +14.8% versus the recorded factor comparison -43.3%.
Bought BEEPMay 17, 2024$4,129
Stock +11.1%; recorded comparison -54.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +65.1%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 17, 2024 · $4,129 · Form 4Stock +11.1% versus the recorded factor comparison -54.0%.
Bought BEEPMay 24, 2024$29,895
Stock +15.6%; recorded comparison -47.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +63.2%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 24, 2024 · $29,895 · Form 4Stock +15.6% versus the recorded factor comparison -47.6%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 1879349. Profile company CIK ticker:BEEP. BEEP
15 obs. Confidence 85; 252-day hit rate 100.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Luck reference: 15 of 15 represented trade dates; upper tail 1.607e-7; corrected within the horizon 4.589e-4, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.359e-3. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 1 windows, with 1 wins and upper tail 3.524e-1.
This rank comes from 17 purchases and 0 sales, measured over 252 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
17 trade dates · 2 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Bought BWFGSep 10, 2024$3,683
Stock +49.2%; recorded comparison +42.8%; outcome in the trade's direction +6.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 10, 2024 · $3,683 · Form 4Stock +49.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +42.8%.
Bought BWFGMar 7, 2024$8,176
Stock +13.2%; recorded comparison +13.7%; outcome in the trade's direction -0.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Mar 7, 2024 · $8,176 · Form 4Stock +13.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +13.7%.
Bought BWFGJun 6, 2025$22,864
Stock +59.3%; recorded comparison +42.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +16.6%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 6, 2025 · $22,864 · Form 4Stock +59.3% versus the recorded factor comparison +42.7%.
Bought BWFGDec 12, 2023$13,632
Stock +13.4%; recorded comparison +19.7%; outcome in the trade's direction -6.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 12, 2023 · $13,632 · Form 4Stock +13.4% versus the recorded factor comparison +19.7%.
Bought BWFGJun 10, 2024$5,088
Stock +42.0%; recorded comparison +27.3%; outcome in the trade's direction +14.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 10, 2024 · $5,088 · Form 4Stock +42.0% versus the recorded factor comparison +27.3%.
Bought BWFGJun 6, 2024$2,627
Stock +50.6%; recorded comparison +30.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +20.1%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 6, 2024 · $2,627 · Form 4Stock +50.6% versus the recorded factor comparison +30.5%.
Bought BWFGMay 22, 2024$2,971
Stock +44.9%; recorded comparison +21.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +23.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 22, 2024 · $2,971 · Form 4Stock +44.9% versus the recorded factor comparison +21.5%.
Bought BWFGDec 6, 2024$6,448
Stock +49.2%; recorded comparison +39.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +9.6%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 6, 2024 · $6,448 · Form 4Stock +49.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +39.6%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001650466. Profile company CIK 0001505732. Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.
17 obs. Confidence 88; 252-day hit rate 82.4%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Luck reference: 14 of 17 represented trade dates; upper tail 9.401e-5; corrected within the horizon 1.678e-2, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 7.266e-2. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 2 windows, with 1 wins and upper tail 5.806e-1.
This rank comes from 14 purchases and 0 sales, measured over 252 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
15 trade dates · 2 nonoverlapping windows · 2 stocks. Shared stock moves and overlapping windows are not separate tests of skill.
Bought ARQTMay 21, 2025$34,423
Stock +51.3%; recorded comparison +46.3%; outcome in the trade's direction +5.0%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 21, 2025 · $34,423 · Form 4Stock +51.3% versus the recorded factor comparison +46.3%.
Bought MIRMMar 6, 2025$58,597
Stock +113.3%; recorded comparison +83.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +30.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Mar 6, 2025 · $58,597 · Form 4Stock +113.3% versus the recorded factor comparison +83.0%.
Bought MIRMMar 14, 2025$24,214
Stock +104.7%; recorded comparison +73.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +31.2%.
2 reported lines and filing sources
Mar 14, 2025 · $23,291 · Form 4Stock +104.7% versus the recorded factor comparison +73.5%.
Mar 17, 2025 · $923 · Form 4Stock +104.7% versus the recorded factor comparison +73.5%.
Bought MIRMNov 9, 2023$82,353
Stock +52.5%; recorded comparison +38.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +14.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Nov 9, 2023 · $82,353 · Form 4Stock +52.5% versus the recorded factor comparison +38.0%.
Bought MIRMSep 18, 2024$4,301
Stock +90.6%; recorded comparison +55.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +35.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 18, 2024 · $4,301 · Form 4Stock +90.6% versus the recorded factor comparison +55.1%.
Bought MIRMSep 6, 2024$9,563
Stock +77.9%; recorded comparison +49.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +28.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 6, 2024 · $9,563 · Form 4Stock +77.9% versus the recorded factor comparison +49.4%.
Bought ARQTJun 13, 2025$34,610
Stock +97.7%; recorded comparison +85.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +11.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 13, 2025 · $34,610 · Form 4Stock +97.7% versus the recorded factor comparison +85.9%.
Bought ARQTMay 15, 2025$34,317
Stock +39.8%; recorded comparison +38.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +1.1%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 15, 2025 · $34,317 · Form 4Stock +39.8% versus the recorded factor comparison +38.7%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001365617. Profile company CIK 0001787306. Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc.
Recorded role: Director · ARQT.
14 obs. Confidence 83; 252-day hit rate 100.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Luck reference: 14 of 14 represented trade dates; upper tail 4.560e-7; corrected within the horizon 6.511e-4, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.880e-3. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 2 windows, with 2 wins and upper tail 1.242e-1.
This rank comes from 16 purchases and 0 sales, measured over 252 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
16 trade dates · 2 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Bought BWFGDec 6, 2024$6,547
Stock +49.2%; recorded comparison +39.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +9.6%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 6, 2024 · $6,547 · Form 4Stock +49.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +39.6%.
Bought BWFGJun 6, 2024$2,528
Stock +50.6%; recorded comparison +30.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +20.1%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 6, 2024 · $2,528 · Form 4Stock +50.6% versus the recorded factor comparison +30.5%.
Bought BWFGSep 11, 2024$3,658
Stock +43.7%; recorded comparison +38.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +5.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 11, 2024 · $3,658 · Form 4Stock +43.7% versus the recorded factor comparison +38.2%.
Bought BWFGMar 7, 2024$7,100
Stock +13.2%; recorded comparison +13.7%; outcome in the trade's direction -0.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Mar 7, 2024 · $7,100 · Form 4Stock +13.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +13.7%.
Bought BWFGDec 12, 2023$12,983
Stock +13.4%; recorded comparison +19.7%; outcome in the trade's direction -6.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 12, 2023 · $12,983 · Form 4Stock +13.4% versus the recorded factor comparison +19.7%.
Bought BWFGDec 9, 2024$6,712
Stock +49.7%; recorded comparison +39.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +10.8%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 9, 2024 · $6,712 · Form 4Stock +49.7% versus the recorded factor comparison +39.0%.
Bought BWFGNov 25, 2024$1,001
Stock +35.4%; recorded comparison +27.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +7.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Nov 25, 2024 · $1,001 · Form 4Stock +35.4% versus the recorded factor comparison +27.9%.
Bought BWFGSep 10, 2024$3,596
Stock +49.2%; recorded comparison +42.8%; outcome in the trade's direction +6.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 10, 2024 · $3,596 · Form 4Stock +49.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +42.8%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001968428. Profile company CIK 0001505732. Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.
16 obs. Confidence 86; 252-day hit rate 81.3%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Luck reference: 13 of 16 represented trade dates; upper tail 2.214e-4; corrected within the horizon 3.398e-2, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.245e-1. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 2 windows, with 1 wins and upper tail 5.806e-1.
This rank comes from 1 purchases and 15 sales, measured over 252 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
19 trade dates · 2 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold PNRGNov 27, 2023$198,962
Stock +88.2%; recorded comparison +100.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +11.8%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Nov 27, 2023 · $198,962 · Form 4Stock +88.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +100.0%.
Sold PNRGMay 28, 2024$1,735,500
Stock +68.7%; recorded comparison +58.4%; outcome in the trade's direction -10.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 28, 2024 · $1,735,500 · Form 4Stock +68.7% versus the recorded factor comparison +58.4%.
Sold PNRGFeb 10, 2025$1,545,483
Stock -12.5%; recorded comparison +59.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +71.9%.
3 reported lines and filing sources
Feb 12, 2025 · $388,691 · Form 4Stock -12.5% versus the recorded factor comparison +59.4%.
Feb 11, 2025 · $884,152 · Form 4Stock -12.5% versus the recorded factor comparison +59.4%.
Feb 10, 2025 · $272,640 · Form 4Stock -12.5% versus the recorded factor comparison +59.4%.
Sold PNRGSep 9, 2024$173,990
Stock +35.4%; recorded comparison +97.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +62.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 9, 2024 · $173,990 · Form 4Stock +35.4% versus the recorded factor comparison +97.7%.
Bought PNRGFeb 21, 2025$198,613
Stock +2.8%; recorded comparison +58.9%; outcome in the trade's direction -56.1%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Feb 21, 2025 · $198,613 · Form 4Stock +2.8% versus the recorded factor comparison +58.9%.
Sold PNRGFeb 19, 2025$785,797
Stock -5.1%; recorded comparison +59.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +64.6%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Feb 19, 2025 · $785,797 · Form 4Stock -5.1% versus the recorded factor comparison +59.5%.
Sold PNRGJun 3, 2025$1,155,612
Stock +27.8%; recorded comparison +74.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +46.7%.
2 reported lines and filing sources
Jun 4, 2025 · $330,429 · Form 4Stock +27.8% versus the recorded factor comparison +74.5%.
Jun 3, 2025 · $825,183 · Form 4Stock +27.8% versus the recorded factor comparison +74.5%.
Sold PNRGSep 13, 2024$398,784
Stock +23.5%; recorded comparison +92.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +68.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 13, 2024 · $398,784 · Form 4Stock +23.5% versus the recorded factor comparison +92.2%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001015878. Profile company CIK 0000056868. PRIMEENERGY RESOURCES CORP
16 obs. Confidence 86; 252-day hit rate 81.3%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 11.6):
Past calls: 50% directionally correct over 3 months (adjusted toward 50% peer prior; 49% observed; recency-weighted sample 11.6)
Descriptive statistic of past trades, not a prediction
How to read these past calls · As of 2026-11-13
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 13 of 16 represented trade dates; upper tail 7.136e-2; corrected within the horizon 5.908e-1, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.000e+0. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 2 windows, with 2 wins and upper tail 3.905e-1.
This rank comes from 15 purchases and 0 sales, measured over 252 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
15 trade dates · 2 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Bought BWFGNov 20, 2023$5,310
Stock +22.2%; recorded comparison +25.1%; outcome in the trade's direction -2.9%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Nov 20, 2023 · $5,310 · Form 4Stock +22.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +25.1%.
Bought BWFGAug 23, 2024$5,032
Stock +56.2%; recorded comparison +35.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +20.8%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Aug 23, 2024 · $5,032 · Form 4Stock +56.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +35.4%.
Bought BWFGDec 12, 2023$1,105
Stock +13.4%; recorded comparison +19.7%; outcome in the trade's direction -6.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 12, 2023 · $1,105 · Form 4Stock +13.4% versus the recorded factor comparison +19.7%.
Bought BWFGJun 10, 2024$337
Stock +42.0%; recorded comparison +27.3%; outcome in the trade's direction +14.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 10, 2024 · $337 · Form 4Stock +42.0% versus the recorded factor comparison +27.3%.
Bought BWFGJun 6, 2024$173
Stock +50.6%; recorded comparison +30.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +20.1%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 6, 2024 · $173 · Form 4Stock +50.6% versus the recorded factor comparison +30.5%.
Bought BWFGSep 11, 2024$207
Stock +43.7%; recorded comparison +38.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +5.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 11, 2024 · $207 · Form 4Stock +43.7% versus the recorded factor comparison +38.2%.
Bought BWFGSep 10, 2024$203
Stock +49.2%; recorded comparison +42.8%; outcome in the trade's direction +6.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 10, 2024 · $203 · Form 4Stock +49.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +42.8%.
Bought BWFGSep 6, 2024$176
Stock +53.5%; recorded comparison +44.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +8.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 6, 2024 · $176 · Form 4Stock +53.5% versus the recorded factor comparison +44.9%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001607538. Profile company CIK 0001505732. Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.
15 obs. Confidence 85; 252-day hit rate 80.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Luck reference: 12 of 15 represented trade dates; upper tail 5.152e-4; corrected within the horizon 5.885e-2, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.874e-1. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 2 windows, with 1 wins and upper tail 5.806e-1.
This rank comes from 15 purchases and 0 sales, measured over 252 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
15 trade dates · 2 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Bought BWFGMar 7, 2024$14,045
Stock +13.2%; recorded comparison +13.7%; outcome in the trade's direction -0.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Mar 7, 2024 · $14,045 · Form 4Stock +13.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +13.7%.
Bought BWFGDec 12, 2023$20,663
Stock +13.4%; recorded comparison +19.7%; outcome in the trade's direction -6.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 12, 2023 · $20,663 · Form 4Stock +13.4% versus the recorded factor comparison +19.7%.
Bought BWFGJun 10, 2024$8,352
Stock +42.0%; recorded comparison +27.3%; outcome in the trade's direction +14.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 10, 2024 · $8,352 · Form 4Stock +42.0% versus the recorded factor comparison +27.3%.
Bought BWFGJun 6, 2024$4,313
Stock +50.6%; recorded comparison +30.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +20.1%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 6, 2024 · $4,313 · Form 4Stock +50.6% versus the recorded factor comparison +30.5%.
Bought BWFGMay 22, 2024$5,572
Stock +44.9%; recorded comparison +21.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +23.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 22, 2024 · $5,572 · Form 4Stock +44.9% versus the recorded factor comparison +21.5%.
Bought BWFGNov 20, 2023$4,656
Stock +22.2%; recorded comparison +25.1%; outcome in the trade's direction -2.9%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Nov 20, 2023 · $4,656 · Form 4Stock +22.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +25.1%.
Bought BWFGSep 10, 2024$6,061
Stock +49.2%; recorded comparison +42.8%; outcome in the trade's direction +6.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 10, 2024 · $6,061 · Form 4Stock +49.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +42.8%.
Bought BWFGSep 6, 2024$5,114
Stock +53.5%; recorded comparison +44.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +8.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Sep 6, 2024 · $5,114 · Form 4Stock +53.5% versus the recorded factor comparison +44.9%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001607527. Profile company CIK 0001505732. Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.
15 obs. Confidence 85; 252-day hit rate 80.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Luck reference: 12 of 15 represented trade dates; upper tail 5.152e-4; corrected within the horizon 5.885e-2, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.874e-1. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 2 windows, with 1 wins and upper tail 5.806e-1.
This rank comes from 2 purchases and 16 sales, measured over 252 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
20 trade dates · 2 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold SGRPJun 6, 2024$5,165
Stock -54.8%; recorded comparison +12.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +67.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 6, 2024 · $5,165 · Form 4Stock -54.8% versus SPY +12.7%.
Sold SGRPApr 1, 2024$67,500
Stock -35.3%; recorded comparison +10.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +46.2%.
3 reported lines and filing sources
Apr 1, 2024 · $67,500 · Form 4Stock -25.8% versus SPY -2.7%.
Apr 1, 2024 · $0 · Form 4Stock -40.0% versus SPY +20.9%.
Apr 1, 2024 · $0 · Form 4Stock -40.1% versus SPY +14.6%.
Sold SGRPMar 13, 2024$206
Stock +27.5%; recorded comparison +11.2%; outcome in the trade's direction -16.2%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Mar 13, 2024 · $206 · Form 4Stock +27.5% versus SPY +11.2%.
Sold SGRPMar 11, 2024$510
Stock +30.9%; recorded comparison +8.9%; outcome in the trade's direction -22.0%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Mar 11, 2024 · $510 · Form 4Stock +30.9% versus SPY +8.9%.
Sold SGRPOct 28, 2024$51,991
Stock -55.2%; recorded comparison +17.8%; outcome in the trade's direction +73.0%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Oct 28, 2024 · $51,991 · Form 4Stock -55.2% versus SPY +17.8%.
Sold SGRPOct 25, 2024$30,932
Stock -53.3%; recorded comparison +17.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +70.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Oct 25, 2024 · $30,932 · Form 4Stock -53.3% versus SPY +17.0%.
Sold SGRPOct 23, 2024$1,452
Stock -57.3%; recorded comparison +18.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +76.0%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Oct 23, 2024 · $1,452 · Form 4Stock -57.3% versus SPY +18.7%.
Sold SGRPOct 22, 2024$106,078
Stock -55.9%; recorded comparison +18.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +74.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Oct 22, 2024 · $106,078 · Form 4Stock -55.9% versus SPY +18.6%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001090394. Profile company CIK 0001004989. SPAR Group, Inc.
18 obs. Confidence 89; 252-day hit rate 77.8%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Luck reference: 14 of 18 represented trade dates; upper tail 8.296e-2; corrected within the horizon 5.993e-1, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.000e+0. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 2 windows, with 0 wins and upper tail 1.000e+0.
This rank comes from 1 purchases and 11 sales, measured over 252 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
12 trade dates · 1 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold DVApr 2, 2024$29,745
Stock -64.0%; recorded comparison +44.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +108.9%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Apr 2, 2024 · $29,745 · Form 4Stock -64.0% versus the recorded factor comparison +44.9%.
Sold DVDec 26, 2023$28,103
Stock -48.6%; recorded comparison +34.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +83.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 26, 2023 · $28,103 · Form 4Stock -48.6% versus the recorded factor comparison +34.9%.
Bought DVMay 31, 2024$23,159
Stock -21.8%; recorded comparison +35.4%; outcome in the trade's direction -57.2%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 31, 2024 · $23,159 · Form 4Stock -21.8% versus the recorded factor comparison +35.4%.
Sold DVMar 19, 2024$30,222
Stock -57.3%; recorded comparison +40.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +97.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Mar 19, 2024 · $30,222 · Form 4Stock -57.3% versus the recorded factor comparison +40.0%.
Sold DVDec 12, 2023$25,125
Stock -43.7%; recorded comparison +36.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +79.6%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 12, 2023 · $25,125 · Form 4Stock -43.7% versus the recorded factor comparison +36.0%.
Sold DVJan 16, 2024$32,679
Stock -49.3%; recorded comparison +47.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +96.8%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jan 16, 2024 · $32,679 · Form 4Stock -49.3% versus the recorded factor comparison +47.5%.
Sold DVJan 2, 2024$32,661
Stock -43.3%; recorded comparison +42.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +85.8%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jan 2, 2024 · $32,661 · Form 4Stock -43.3% versus the recorded factor comparison +42.5%.
Sold DVFeb 6, 2024$37,791
Stock -46.9%; recorded comparison +49.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +96.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Feb 6, 2024 · $37,791 · Form 4Stock -46.9% versus the recorded factor comparison +49.4%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 1853942. Profile company CIK ticker:DV. DV
12 obs. Confidence 78; 252-day hit rate 91.7%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Luck reference: 11 of 12 represented trade dates; upper tail 1.887e-2; corrected within the horizon 4.283e-1, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 9.530e-1. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 1 windows, with 1 wins and upper tail 6.249e-1.
One entry per filing selected from the current 90-day scored feed. Derivatives and known open-market trades below $10,000 are excluded from conviction scoring. These are reported transactions, not live trades. A trade score and an insider's historical Alpha IQ measure different things.