Reported insider trades and the historical records behind them. A high score describes past trades; it is not a forecast or a reason to trade.
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As of Nov 13, 2026. At least 3 observations, ranked by Alpha IQ over 63 trading days. 1,586 eligible records before the optional luck filter.
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13 buys · 0 sales · 63 trading days
Alpha IQ90.2
13 of 13 worked
Unlikely under model
Unlikely under the luck model.
This rank comes from 13 purchases and 0 sales, measured over 63 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
14 trade dates · 2 nonoverlapping windows · 2 stocks. Shared stock moves and overlapping windows are not separate tests of skill.
Bought AIRSMar 23, 2026$145,500
Stock +44.9%; recorded comparison +16.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +29.0%.
Bought AIRSMar 20, 2026$110,800
Stock +65.5%; recorded comparison +26.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +39.0%.
Bought AIRSMar 19, 2026$205,133
Stock +78.9%; recorded comparison +36.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +42.9%.
Bought AIRSMar 17, 2026$212,480
Stock +72.4%; recorded comparison +37.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +34.7%.
Bought AIRSMar 16, 2026$257,211
Stock +81.1%; recorded comparison +45.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +35.7%.
Bought AIRSMar 11, 2026$189,200
Stock +119.9%; recorded comparison +46.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +73.5%.
Bought AIRSMar 6, 2026$91,200
Stock +144.2%; recorded comparison +60.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +84.2%.
Bought AIRSMar 3, 2026$192,900
Stock +181.7%; recorded comparison +86.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +95.1%.
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0002042077. Profile company CIK 0001274737. EXAGEN INC.
13 obs. Confidence 80; 63-day hit rate 100.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 23.2):
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 13 of 13 represented trade dates; upper tail 7.301e-6; corrected within the horizon 9.787e-3, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.673e-2. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 2 windows, with 2 wins and upper tail 1.621e-1.
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33 buys · 0 sales · 63 trading days
Alpha IQ85.1
26 of 33 worked
Unlikely under model
Unlikely under the luck model.
This rank comes from 33 purchases and 0 sales, measured over 63 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
33 trade dates · 2 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Bought RKTJun 3, 2024$4,083
Stock +36.0%; recorded comparison +21.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +14.4%.
Bought RKTApr 9, 2024$1,839
Stock +15.1%; recorded comparison +11.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +3.5%.
Bought RKTJun 20, 2024$4,296
Stock +33.5%; recorded comparison +31.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +2.5%.
Bought RKTMar 11, 2024$4,321
Stock +19.2%; recorded comparison +16.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +2.6%.
Bought RKTMar 18, 2024$4,379
Stock +2.7%; recorded comparison +7.5%; outcome in the trade's direction -4.7%.
Bought RKTApr 25, 2024$4,212
Stock +29.9%; recorded comparison +26.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +3.5%.
Bought RKTMay 20, 2024$353
Stock +40.3%; recorded comparison +26.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +14.1%.
Bought RKTMar 28, 2024$4,386
Stock -5.1%; recorded comparison -8.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +3.0%.
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 1817213. Profile company CIK ticker:RKT. RKT
33 obs. Confidence 98; 63-day hit rate 78.8%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 32.7):
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 26 of 33 represented trade dates; upper tail 7.440e-6; corrected within the horizon 9.787e-3, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.673e-2. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 2 windows, with 2 wins and upper tail 1.621e-1.
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One entry per filing selected from the current 90-day scored feed. Derivatives and known open-market trades below $10,000 are excluded from conviction scoring. These are reported transactions, not live trades. A trade score and an insider's historical Alpha IQ measure different things.
Chief Executive Officer · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $247,028.60 total reported value
Trade score 100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Spencer Edward Mullee · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 13,573 shares · $247,028.60
Trade score 100
Chairman, President & CEO · Nov 10, 2026
2 transactions · $34,039,232.72 total reported value
Trade score -100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Thomas J. Wilson · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -51,484 shares · $13,386,493.85
Trade score -100
Thomas J. Wilson · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -79,433 shares · $20,652,738.87
Trade score -100
Chief Financial Officer · Nov 10, 2026
2 transactions · $198,515.68 total reported value
Trade score 100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Ryan Corbett · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 2,776 shares · $99,047.68
Trade score 100
Ryan Corbett · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 2,700 shares · $99,468.00
Trade score 100
Chief Operating Officer · Nov 10, 2026 – Nov 11, 2026
3 transactions · $1,175,090.00 total reported value
Trade score 100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Michael Stuart Rosenthal · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 17,000 shares · $616,590.00
Trade score 100
Michael Stuart Rosenthal · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 10,000 shares · $372,000.00
Trade score 100
Michael Stuart Rosenthal · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 5,000 shares · $186,500.00
Trade score 100
SR. VICE PRESIDENT & CFO · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $402,182.00 total reported value
Trade score -100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Bart Jan Cornelissen · Sale
Nov 11, 2026 · -10,100 shares · $402,182.00
Trade score -100
Chief Executive Officer · Nov 10, 2026
1 transaction · $182,000.00 total reported value
Trade score 100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Victor J. Coleman · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 20,000 shares · $182,000.00
Trade score 100
EVP, Chief Operating Officer · Nov 11, 2026 – Nov 12, 2026
2 transactions · $3,506,335.11 priced total
Trade scores -100 to -8 · 1 zero or unpriced line
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Mital Patel · Sale
Nov 11, 2026 · -44,661 shares · $3,506,335.11
Trade score -100
Mital Patel · Gift
Nov 12, 2026 · -640 shares · No price reported
Trade score -8
President & CEO · Nov 9, 2026
1 transaction · $99,909.57 total reported value
Trade score 100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Alexandre Ruberti · Purchase
Nov 9, 2026 · 81,300 shares · $99,909.57
Trade score 100
CFO & SECRETARY · Nov 12, 2026
1 transaction · $270,740.00 total reported value
Trade score 100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
James M. Watkins · Purchase
Nov 12, 2026 · 2,000 shares · $270,740.00
Trade score 100
Chief Executive Officer · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $24,046.70 total reported value
Trade score 100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Yogesh Jashnani · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 31,000 shares · $24,046.70
Trade score 100
President & CEO · Nov 10, 2026
2 transactions · $4,980,812.26 total reported value
Trade scores -100 to -82
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Timothy W. Byrne · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -1,534 shares · $183,972.62
Trade score -82
Timothy W. Byrne · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -40,466 shares · $4,796,839.64
Trade score -100
CEO RSUM · Nov 9, 2026 – Nov 10, 2026
9 transactions · $4,724,825.00 priced total
Trade scores -98 to 0 · 7 of 9 lines scored · 7 zero or unpriced lines
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Exercise
Nov 9, 2026 · 40,000 shares · No price reported
Trade score 0
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Exercise
Nov 9, 2026 · -40,000 shares · No price reported
Trade score 0
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Derivative: Exercise
Nov 9, 2026 · -40,000 shares · No price reported
Trade score — · Excluded from conviction scoring
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Sale
Nov 9, 2026 · -50,000 shares · $2,365,645.00
Trade score -97
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Derivative: Exercise
Nov 10, 2026 · -50,000 shares · No price reported
Trade score — · Excluded from conviction scoring
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Exercise
Nov 10, 2026 · 50,000 shares · No price reported
Trade score 0
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -50,000 shares · $2,359,180.00
Trade score -98
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Exercise
Nov 10, 2026 · -50,000 shares · No price reported
Trade score 0
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Gift
Nov 10, 2026 · -7,577 shares · No price reported
Trade score 0
Co-President, CFO & COO · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $5,792,000.00 total reported value
Trade score -94
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Matthew Nicholls · Sale
Nov 11, 2026 · -160,000 shares · $5,792,000.00
Trade score -94
VP & Chief Financial Officer · Nov 10, 2026
1 transaction · $2,002,496.93 total reported value
Trade score -91
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Rebecca Clary · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -23,250 shares · $2,002,496.93
Trade score -91
PRESIDENT & CEO · Nov 10, 2026 – Nov 11, 2026
2 transactions · $1,500,009.14 total reported value
Trade scores 86 to 89
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Todd M. Hornbeck · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 189,569.877 shares · $999,981.10
Trade score 89
Todd M. Hornbeck · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 91,295.972 shares · $500,028.04
Trade score 86
Co-CEO · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $49,725.00 total reported value
Trade score 86
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Michael Rovner · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 7,500 shares · $49,725.00
Trade score 86
CFO · Nov 10, 2026
1 transaction · $178,830.92 total reported value
Trade score -86
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Avi Goldin · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -9,455 shares · $178,830.92
Trade score -86
Chief Executive Officer · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $37,943.10 total reported value
Trade score 83
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Johan M. Spoor · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 47,000 shares · $37,943.10
Trade score 83
Chief Executive Officer · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $20,275.00 total reported value
Trade score 80
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Seth Lederman · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 5,000 shares · $20,275.00
Trade score 80
EVP, Chief Govt Rel Officer · Nov 10, 2026
4 transactions · $1,056,596.20 priced total
Trade scores -79 to 13 · 3 of 4 lines scored · 1 zero or unpriced line
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Darby Anderson · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -2,520 shares · $310,993.20
Trade score -77
Darby Anderson · Derivative: Exercise
Nov 10, 2026 · -6,740 shares · No price reported
Trade score — · Excluded from conviction scoring
Darby Anderson · Exercise
Nov 10, 2026 · 6,740 shares · $229,497.00
Trade score 13
Darby Anderson · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -4,220 shares · $516,106.00
Trade score -79
CEO · Nov 10, 2026 – Nov 11, 2026
2 transactions · $99,140.78 total reported value
Trade scores 71 to 78
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
John D. Baker III · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 1,091 shares · $20,707.18
Trade score 71
John D. Baker III · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 4,172 shares · $78,433.60
Trade score 78
EVP, Chief Development Officer · Nov 10, 2026
3 transactions · $433,556.78 total reported value
Trade scores -74 to -71 · 2 of 3 lines scored
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Cliff Donald Blessing · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -2,571 shares · $319,266.78
Trade score -74
Cliff Donald Blessing · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -35 shares · $4,361.70
Trade score — · Excluded from conviction scoring
Cliff Donald Blessing · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -893 shares · $109,928.30
Trade score -71
Chief Executive Officer · Nov 10, 2026 – Nov 11, 2026
3 transactions · $33,923.20 total reported value
Trade score 70 · 2 of 3 lines scored
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Chun Sing Chan · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -8,000 shares · $5,355.20
Trade score — · Excluded from conviction scoring
Chun Sing Chan · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 20,000 shares · $13,980.00
Trade score 70
Chun Sing Chan · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 20,000 shares · $14,588.00
Trade score 70
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $19,530.00 total reported value
Trade score 69
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Roger L. Smith · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 30,000 shares · $19,530.00
Trade score 69
Chief Financial Officer · Nov 10, 2026
1 transaction · $22,770.00 total reported value
Trade score 68
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Jesse Weaver · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 9,000 shares · $22,770.00
Trade score 68
