Reported insider trades and the historical records behind them. A high score describes past trades; it is not a forecast or a reason to trade.
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As of Nov 13, 2026. At least 3 observations, ranked by Alpha IQ over 63 trading days. 5,262 eligible records before the optional luck filter.
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0 buys · 29 sales · 63 trading days
Alpha IQ98.7
29 of 29 worked
Unlikely under model
Unlikely under the luck model.
This rank comes from 0 purchases and 29 sales, measured over 63 trading days after disclosure. It is a sales-only record. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
36 trade dates · 4 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold SGAApr 3, 2025$151
Stock +14.7%; recorded comparison +23.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +9.0%.
Sold SGAApr 1, 2025$19,214
Stock +6.2%; recorded comparison +15.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +9.4%.
Sold SGAJun 16, 2025$1,038
Stock +2.2%; recorded comparison +10.8%; outcome in the trade's direction +8.6%.
Sold SGAJun 12, 2025$3,873
Stock +1.6%; recorded comparison +9.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +7.9%.
Sold SGAJun 11, 2025$886
Stock -5.4%; recorded comparison +8.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +14.3%.
Sold SGAJun 5, 2025$121,853
Stock -0.3%; recorded comparison +8.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +8.8%.
Sold SGAJul 25, 2025$24,107
Stock -4.5%; recorded comparison +6.3%; outcome in the trade's direction +10.9%.
Sold SGAJul 23, 2025$7,919
Stock -6.9%; recorded comparison +5.3%; outcome in the trade's direction +12.1%.
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001944397. Profile company CIK 0000886136. SAGA COMMUNICATIONS INC
Recorded role: 10% Owner · SGA.
29 obs. Confidence 97; 63-day hit rate 100.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 21.5):
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 29 of 29 represented trade dates; upper tail 5.956e-8; corrected within the horizon 3.134e-4, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.359e-3. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 4 windows, with 4 wins and upper tail 1.008e-1.
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0 buys · 25 sales · 63 trading days
Alpha IQ97.8
22 of 25 worked
Luck not ruled out
Luck could explain this record.
This rank comes from 0 purchases and 25 sales, measured over 63 trading days after disclosure. It is a sales-only record. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
58 trade dates · 3 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold NPWROct 28, 2025$3,702,732
Stock -41.1%; recorded comparison -9.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +31.9%.
Sold NPWROct 23, 2025$1,922,282
Stock -36.6%; recorded comparison -19.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +17.6%.
Sold NPWROct 20, 2025$1,681,952
Stock -27.2%; recorded comparison -17.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +10.0%.
Sold NPWROct 15, 2025$1,147,219
Stock -35.1%; recorded comparison -23.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +11.2%.
Sold NPWRNov 20, 2025$387,919
Stock -22.2%; recorded comparison -12.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +9.8%.
Sold NPWRNov 17, 2025$1,593,479
Stock -26.9%; recorded comparison -8.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +18.8%.
Sold NPWROct 31, 2025$107,348
Stock -43.8%; recorded comparison -16.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +27.2%.
Sold NPWRDec 24, 2025$375,632
Stock -30.4%; recorded comparison -16.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +13.9%.
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001981772. Profile company CIK 0001845437. Net Power Inc.
25 obs. Confidence 96; 63-day hit rate 88.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 47.2):
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 22 of 25 represented trade dates; upper tail 7.504e-4; corrected within the horizon 2.053e-1, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 2.134e-1. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 3 windows, with 3 wins and upper tail 1.789e-1.
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0 buys · 21 sales · 63 trading days
Alpha IQ96.4
21 of 21 worked
Unlikely under model
Unlikely under the luck model.
This rank comes from 0 purchases and 21 sales, measured over 63 trading days after disclosure. It is a sales-only record. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
26 trade dates · 1 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold CCOIMay 29, 2025$1,172,593
Stock -16.4%; recorded comparison +10.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +26.7%.
Sold CCOIMay 28, 2025$948,174
Stock -21.0%; recorded comparison +9.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +30.9%.
Sold CCOIMay 27, 2025$973,322
Stock -19.2%; recorded comparison +11.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +31.1%.
Sold CCOIMay 23, 2025$1,173,318
Stock -23.9%; recorded comparison +11.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +35.1%.
Sold CCOIMay 22, 2025$1,156,768
Stock -18.3%; recorded comparison +13.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +31.8%.
Sold CCOIMay 21, 2025$1,872,248
Stock -16.4%; recorded comparison +11.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +28.3%.
Sold CCOIMay 20, 2025$749,348
Stock -18.5%; recorded comparison +4.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +22.9%.
Sold CCOIMay 16, 2025$764,925
Stock -24.3%; recorded comparison -3.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +20.9%.
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001166976. Profile company CIK 0001158324. COGENT COMMUNICATIONS HOLDINGS, INC.
Recorded role: CEO · CCOI.
21 obs. Confidence 93; 63-day hit rate 100.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 18.9):
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 21 of 21 represented trade dates; upper tail 5.862e-6; corrected within the horizon 9.787e-3, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.611e-2. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 1 windows, with 1 wins and upper tail 5.635e-1.
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0 buys · 16 sales · 63 trading days
Alpha IQ93.2
16 of 16 worked
Luck not ruled out
Luck could explain this record.
This rank comes from 0 purchases and 16 sales, measured over 63 trading days after disclosure. It is a sales-only record. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
21 trade dates · 5 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold SPOKNov 27, 2023$119,708
Stock +3.1%; recorded comparison +12.8%; outcome in the trade's direction +9.7%.
Sold SPOKAug 22, 2025
Stock -28.3%; recorded comparison -5.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +22.8%.
Some reported source details are unavailable.
Sold SPOKAug 20, 2025
Stock -30.6%; recorded comparison -5.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +25.2%.
Some reported source details are unavailable.
Sold SPOKAug 18, 2025
Stock -28.2%; recorded comparison -2.3%; outcome in the trade's direction +25.9%.
Some reported source details are unavailable.
Sold SPOKMar 4, 2024$234,600
Stock -14.3%; recorded comparison -7.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +7.3%.
Sold SPOKAug 14, 2025
Stock -23.9%; recorded comparison -6.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +17.9%.
Some reported source details are unavailable.
Sold SPOKAug 12, 2025$3,125,275
Stock -24.4%; recorded comparison -6.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +18.1%.
Sold SPOKNov 13, 2024$7,231
Stock +2.7%; recorded comparison +10.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +7.4%.
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001747745. Profile company CIK 0001289945. Spok Holdings, Inc
Recorded role: Director · SPOK.
16 obs. Confidence 86; 63-day hit rate 100.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 19.8):
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 16 of 16 represented trade dates; upper tail 1.032e-4; corrected within the horizon 9.052e-2, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 7.736e-2. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 5 windows, with 5 wins and upper tail 5.679e-2.
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0 buys · 16 sales · 63 trading days
Alpha IQ93.2
15 of 16 worked
Luck not ruled out
Luck could explain this record.
This rank comes from 0 purchases and 16 sales, measured over 63 trading days after disclosure. It is a sales-only record. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
16 trade dates · 4 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold FRGEDec 4, 2023$157,700
Stock -41.6%; recorded comparison +12.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +54.2%.
Sold FRGEJun 3, 2024$38,300
Stock -18.5%; recorded comparison +2.8%; outcome in the trade's direction +21.3%.
Sold FRGEMay 22, 2024$61,116
Stock -13.4%; recorded comparison +6.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +20.2%.
Sold FRGEMay 1, 2024$67,328
Stock -30.4%; recorded comparison +5.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +35.9%.
Sold FRGEApr 16, 2024$38,194
Stock -19.8%; recorded comparison +9.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +29.7%.
Sold FRGEApr 1, 2024$46,040
Stock -21.2%; recorded comparison +6.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +27.4%.
Sold FRGEFeb 6, 2024$43,992
Stock +5.4%; recorded comparison +4.4%; outcome in the trade's direction -1.0%.
Sold FRGEJan 3, 2024$126,112
Stock -21.7%; recorded comparison +10.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +32.6%.
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001916605. Profile company CIK ticker:FRGE. FRGE
16 obs. Confidence 86; 63-day hit rate 93.8%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Luck reference: 15 of 16 represented trade dates; upper tail 1.383e-3; corrected within the horizon 2.989e-1, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 3.198e-1. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 4 windows, with 4 wins and upper tail 1.008e-1.
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0 buys · 15 sales · 63 trading days
Alpha IQ92.3
14 of 15 worked
Luck not ruled out
Luck could explain this record.
This rank comes from 0 purchases and 15 sales, measured over 63 trading days after disclosure. It is a sales-only record. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
15 trade dates · 5 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold ONTFDec 14, 2023$40,866
Stock -8.8%; recorded comparison +10.3%; outcome in the trade's direction +19.0%.
Sold ONTFDec 1, 2023$41,966
Stock -12.2%; recorded comparison +12.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +25.0%.
Sold ONTFNov 20, 2023$20,418
Stock +1.0%; recorded comparison +11.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +10.2%.
Sold ONTFJun 6, 2024$54,424
Stock +5.3%; recorded comparison +2.5%; outcome in the trade's direction -2.9%.
Sold ONTFMar 11, 2024$34,172
Stock -14.2%; recorded comparison +4.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +19.1%.
Sold ONTFMar 1, 2024$39,564
Stock -13.4%; recorded comparison +4.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +17.6%.
Sold ONTFFeb 20, 2024$25,217
Stock -18.6%; recorded comparison +4.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +23.0%.
Sold ONTFDec 16, 2024$26,657
Stock -13.8%; recorded comparison -2.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +11.7%.
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001335061. Profile company CIK ticker:ONTF. ONTF
15 obs. Confidence 85; 63-day hit rate 93.3%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Luck reference: 14 of 15 represented trade dates; upper tail 2.312e-3; corrected within the horizon 3.578e-1, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 3.944e-1. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 5 windows, with 4 wins and upper tail 2.768e-1.
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0 buys · 15 sales · 63 trading days
Alpha IQ92.3
15 of 15 worked
Luck not ruled out
Luck could explain this record.
This rank comes from 0 purchases and 15 sales, measured over 63 trading days after disclosure. It is a sales-only record. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
17 trade dates · 4 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold PHRMar 18, 2025$3,505
Stock -5.1%; recorded comparison +4.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +9.2%.
Sold PHRApr 21, 2025$5,991
Stock +11.9%; recorded comparison +23.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +11.2%.
Sold PHRApr 16, 2025$47,876
Stock +10.8%; recorded comparison +23.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +13.0%.
Sold PHRApr 8, 2025$94,076
Stock +15.0%; recorded comparison +29.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +14.9%.
Sold PHRDec 18, 2023$2,315
Stock +5.9%; recorded comparison +16.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +10.1%.
Sold PHRJul 17, 2025$55,465
Stock -16.0%; recorded comparison +13.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +29.1%.
Sold PHRAug 18, 2025$2,274
Stock -29.2%; recorded comparison +4.3%; outcome in the trade's direction +33.6%.
Sold PHRSep 18, 2025$2,226
Stock -33.1%; recorded comparison +9.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +42.7%.
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001776729. Profile company CIK 0001412408. Phreesia, Inc.
Recorded role: President · PHR.
15 obs. Confidence 85; 63-day hit rate 100.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 23.1):
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 15 of 15 represented trade dates; upper tail 1.832e-4; corrected within the horizon 1.205e-1, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.105e-1. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 4 windows, with 4 wins and upper tail 1.008e-1.
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0 buys · 22 sales · 63 trading days
Alpha IQ91.3
17 of 22 worked
Luck not ruled out
Luck could explain this record.
This rank comes from 0 purchases and 22 sales, measured over 63 trading days after disclosure. It is a sales-only record. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
22 trade dates · 2 nonoverlapping windows · 2 stocks. Shared stock moves and overlapping windows are not separate tests of skill.
Sold SMRSep 29, 2025$79,973,689
Stock -61.3%; recorded comparison +4.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +65.4%.
Sold FLRSep 29, 2025$79,973,689
Stock -7.5%; recorded comparison -9.0%; outcome in the trade's direction -1.5%.
Sold SMRSep 24, 2025$90,051,262
Stock -60.9%; recorded comparison +5.8%; outcome in the trade's direction +66.7%.
Sold FLRSep 24, 2025$90,051,262
Stock -3.2%; recorded comparison -12.1%; outcome in the trade's direction -8.9%.
Sold FLRSep 19, 2025$200,678,996
Stock -7.4%; recorded comparison -9.5%; outcome in the trade's direction -2.1%.
Sold SMRSep 19, 2025$200,678,996
Stock -60.5%; recorded comparison +6.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +67.0%.
Sold SMRSep 16, 2025$96,010,587
Stock -58.7%; recorded comparison +7.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +66.7%.
Sold FLRSep 16, 2025$96,010,587
Stock -3.7%; recorded comparison -1.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +2.3%.
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001124198. Profile company CIK 0001822966. NUSCALE POWER Corp
Recorded role: Director · SMR.
22 obs. Confidence 94; 63-day hit rate 77.3%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 70.7):
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 11 of 11 represented trade dates; upper tail 1.817e-3; corrected within the horizon 2.989e-1, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 3.510e-1. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 2 windows, with 2 wins and upper tail 3.175e-1.
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0 buys · 14 sales · 63 trading days
Alpha IQ91.3
13 of 14 worked
Luck not ruled out
Luck could explain this record.
This rank comes from 0 purchases and 14 sales, measured over 63 trading days after disclosure. It is a sales-only record. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
29 trade dates · 3 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold CTMMar 5, 2025$717,450
Stock -3.3%; recorded comparison +4.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +7.3%.
Sold CTMMay 19, 2025$277,558
Stock -1.0%; recorded comparison +7.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +8.6%.
Sold CTMAug 27, 2025$66,704
Stock 0.0%; recorded comparison +4.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +4.7%.
Sold CTMAug 22, 2025$88,400
Stock +2.9%; recorded comparison +3.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +0.7%.
Sold CTMAug 18, 2025$375,300
Stock +6.9%; recorded comparison +3.4%; outcome in the trade's direction -3.5%.
Sold CTMSep 15, 2025$110,500
Stock -5.5%; recorded comparison +3.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +8.5%.
Sold CTMSep 10, 2025$260,960
Stock +4.5%; recorded comparison +4.8%; outcome in the trade's direction +0.3%.
Sold CTMSep 5, 2025$498,445
Stock +0.9%; recorded comparison +5.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +4.3%.
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001310272. Profile company CIK 0001877939. Castellum, Inc.
Recorded role: General Counsel · CTM.
14 obs. Confidence 83; 63-day hit rate 92.9%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 18.2):
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 13 of 14 represented trade dates; upper tail 3.852e-3; corrected within the horizon 4.980e-1, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 5.323e-1. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 3 windows, with 2 wins and upper tail 5.947e-1.
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0 buys · 30 sales · 63 trading days
Alpha IQ90.7
22 of 30 worked
Luck not ruled out
Luck could explain this record.
This rank comes from 0 purchases and 30 sales, measured over 63 trading days after disclosure. It is a sales-only record. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
59 trade dates · 3 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold URBNMay 29, 2025$5,807,048
Stock -6.9%; recorded comparison -23.1%; outcome in the trade's direction -16.2%.
Sold URBNOct 10, 2025$1,311,940
Stock +3.2%; recorded comparison -7.5%; outcome in the trade's direction -10.7%.
Sold URBNDec 29, 2025$1,411,724
Stock -14.2%; recorded comparison +9.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +23.9%.
Sold URBNDec 23, 2025$2,169,043
Stock -17.1%; recorded comparison +5.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +22.2%.
Sold URBNDec 19, 2025$1,507,503
Stock -19.7%; recorded comparison +1.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +21.7%.
Sold URBNDec 17, 2025$1,534,657
Stock -24.1%; recorded comparison +3.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +27.7%.
Sold URBNDec 15, 2025$1,537,991
Stock -21.7%; recorded comparison +5.3%; outcome in the trade's direction +27.0%.
Sold URBNDec 11, 2025$1,526,292
Stock -22.9%; recorded comparison +2.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +25.8%.
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001426604. Profile company CIK 0000912615. URBAN OUTFITTERS INC
Recorded role: President · URBN.
30 obs. Confidence 98; 63-day hit rate 73.3%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 93.4):
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 22 of 30 represented trade dates; upper tail 4.299e-2; corrected within the horizon 9.312e-1, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.000e+0. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 3 windows, with 1 wins and upper tail 9.168e-1.
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One entry per filing selected from the current 90-day scored feed. Derivatives and known open-market trades below $10,000 are excluded from conviction scoring. These are reported transactions, not live trades. A trade score and an insider's historical Alpha IQ measure different things.
Chief Executive Officer · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $247,028.60 total reported value
Trade score 100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Spencer Edward Mullee · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 13,573 shares · $247,028.60
Trade score 100
Chairman, President & CEO · Nov 10, 2026
2 transactions · $34,039,232.72 total reported value
Trade score -100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Thomas J. Wilson · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -51,484 shares · $13,386,493.85
Trade score -100
Thomas J. Wilson · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -79,433 shares · $20,652,738.87
Trade score -100
Chief Financial Officer · Nov 10, 2026
2 transactions · $198,515.68 total reported value
Trade score 100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Ryan Corbett · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 2,776 shares · $99,047.68
Trade score 100
Ryan Corbett · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 2,700 shares · $99,468.00
Trade score 100
Chief Operating Officer · Nov 10, 2026 – Nov 11, 2026
3 transactions · $1,175,090.00 total reported value
Trade score 100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Michael Stuart Rosenthal · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 17,000 shares · $616,590.00
Trade score 100
Michael Stuart Rosenthal · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 10,000 shares · $372,000.00
Trade score 100
Michael Stuart Rosenthal · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 5,000 shares · $186,500.00
Trade score 100
SR. VICE PRESIDENT & CFO · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $402,182.00 total reported value
Trade score -100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Bart Jan Cornelissen · Sale
Nov 11, 2026 · -10,100 shares · $402,182.00
Trade score -100
Chief Executive Officer · Nov 10, 2026
1 transaction · $182,000.00 total reported value
Trade score 100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Victor J. Coleman · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 20,000 shares · $182,000.00
Trade score 100
EVP, Chief Operating Officer · Nov 11, 2026 – Nov 12, 2026
2 transactions · $3,506,335.11 priced total
Trade scores -100 to -8 · 1 zero or unpriced line
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Mital Patel · Sale
Nov 11, 2026 · -44,661 shares · $3,506,335.11
Trade score -100
Mital Patel · Gift
Nov 12, 2026 · -640 shares · No price reported
Trade score -8
President & CEO · Nov 9, 2026
1 transaction · $99,909.57 total reported value
Trade score 100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Alexandre Ruberti · Purchase
Nov 9, 2026 · 81,300 shares · $99,909.57
Trade score 100
CFO & SECRETARY · Nov 12, 2026
1 transaction · $270,740.00 total reported value
Trade score 100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
James M. Watkins · Purchase
Nov 12, 2026 · 2,000 shares · $270,740.00
Trade score 100
Chief Executive Officer · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $24,046.70 total reported value
Trade score 100
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Yogesh Jashnani · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 31,000 shares · $24,046.70
Trade score 100
President & CEO · Nov 10, 2026
2 transactions · $4,980,812.26 total reported value
Trade scores -100 to -82
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Timothy W. Byrne · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -1,534 shares · $183,972.62
Trade score -82
Timothy W. Byrne · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -40,466 shares · $4,796,839.64
Trade score -100
CEO RSUM · Nov 9, 2026 – Nov 10, 2026
9 transactions · $4,724,825.00 priced total
Trade scores -98 to 0 · 7 of 9 lines scored · 7 zero or unpriced lines
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Exercise
Nov 9, 2026 · 40,000 shares · No price reported
Trade score 0
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Exercise
Nov 9, 2026 · -40,000 shares · No price reported
Trade score 0
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Derivative: Exercise
Nov 9, 2026 · -40,000 shares · No price reported
Trade score — · Excluded from conviction scoring
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Sale
Nov 9, 2026 · -50,000 shares · $2,365,645.00
Trade score -97
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Derivative: Exercise
Nov 10, 2026 · -50,000 shares · No price reported
Trade score — · Excluded from conviction scoring
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Exercise
Nov 10, 2026 · 50,000 shares · No price reported
Trade score 0
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -50,000 shares · $2,359,180.00
Trade score -98
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Exercise
Nov 10, 2026 · -50,000 shares · No price reported
Trade score 0
Benjamin MIles Wuller · Gift
Nov 10, 2026 · -7,577 shares · No price reported
Trade score 0
Co-President, CFO & COO · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $5,792,000.00 total reported value
Trade score -94
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Matthew Nicholls · Sale
Nov 11, 2026 · -160,000 shares · $5,792,000.00
Trade score -94
VP & Chief Financial Officer · Nov 10, 2026
1 transaction · $2,002,496.93 total reported value
Trade score -91
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Rebecca Clary · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -23,250 shares · $2,002,496.93
Trade score -91
PRESIDENT & CEO · Nov 10, 2026 – Nov 11, 2026
2 transactions · $1,500,009.14 total reported value
Trade scores 86 to 89
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Todd M. Hornbeck · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 189,569.877 shares · $999,981.10
Trade score 89
Todd M. Hornbeck · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 91,295.972 shares · $500,028.04
Trade score 86
Co-CEO · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $49,725.00 total reported value
Trade score 86
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Michael Rovner · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 7,500 shares · $49,725.00
Trade score 86
CFO · Nov 10, 2026
1 transaction · $178,830.92 total reported value
Trade score -86
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Avi Goldin · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -9,455 shares · $178,830.92
Trade score -86
Chief Executive Officer · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $37,943.10 total reported value
Trade score 83
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Johan M. Spoor · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 47,000 shares · $37,943.10
Trade score 83
Chief Executive Officer · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $20,275.00 total reported value
Trade score 80
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Seth Lederman · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 5,000 shares · $20,275.00
Trade score 80
EVP, Chief Govt Rel Officer · Nov 10, 2026
4 transactions · $1,056,596.20 priced total
Trade scores -79 to 13 · 3 of 4 lines scored · 1 zero or unpriced line
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Darby Anderson · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -2,520 shares · $310,993.20
Trade score -77
Darby Anderson · Derivative: Exercise
Nov 10, 2026 · -6,740 shares · No price reported
Trade score — · Excluded from conviction scoring
Darby Anderson · Exercise
Nov 10, 2026 · 6,740 shares · $229,497.00
Trade score 13
Darby Anderson · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -4,220 shares · $516,106.00
Trade score -79
CEO · Nov 10, 2026 – Nov 11, 2026
2 transactions · $99,140.78 total reported value
Trade scores 71 to 78
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
John D. Baker III · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 1,091 shares · $20,707.18
Trade score 71
John D. Baker III · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 4,172 shares · $78,433.60
Trade score 78
EVP, Chief Development Officer · Nov 10, 2026
3 transactions · $433,556.78 total reported value
Trade scores -74 to -71 · 2 of 3 lines scored
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Cliff Donald Blessing · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -2,571 shares · $319,266.78
Trade score -74
Cliff Donald Blessing · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -35 shares · $4,361.70
Trade score — · Excluded from conviction scoring
Cliff Donald Blessing · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -893 shares · $109,928.30
Trade score -71
Chief Executive Officer · Nov 10, 2026 – Nov 11, 2026
3 transactions · $33,923.20 total reported value
Trade score 70 · 2 of 3 lines scored
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Chun Sing Chan · Sale
Nov 10, 2026 · -8,000 shares · $5,355.20
Trade score — · Excluded from conviction scoring
Chun Sing Chan · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 20,000 shares · $13,980.00
Trade score 70
Chun Sing Chan · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 20,000 shares · $14,588.00
Trade score 70
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER · Nov 11, 2026
1 transaction · $19,530.00 total reported value
Trade score 69
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Roger L. Smith · Purchase
Nov 11, 2026 · 30,000 shares · $19,530.00
Trade score 69
Chief Financial Officer · Nov 10, 2026
1 transaction · $22,770.00 total reported value
Trade score 68
Values sum the reported lines; purchases and sales are not netted. Lines outside the current filter remain here as filing context.
Jesse Weaver · Purchase
Nov 10, 2026 · 9,000 shares · $22,770.00
Trade score 68
