As of Nov 13, 2026. At least 3 observations, ranked by Alpha IQ over 126 trading days. 4,241 eligible records before the optional luck filter.
Link an account to see your stake.
#1 Anthony Li Hsieh
0 buys · 39 sales · 126 trading days
Alpha IQ99.6
Why this rank?
37 of 39 worked
Unlikely under model
Unlikely under the luck model.
This rank comes from 0 purchases and 39 sales, measured over 126 trading days after disclosure. It is a sales-only record. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
40 trade dates · 3 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold LDIDec 2, 2024$290,949
Stock -43.0%; recorded comparison +22.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +65.0%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 2, 2024 · $290,949 · Form 4Stock -43.0% versus the recorded factor comparison +22.1%.
Sold LDIDec 6, 2024$119,876
Stock -37.4%; recorded comparison +13.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +50.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 6, 2024 · $119,876 · Form 4Stock -37.4% versus the recorded factor comparison +13.0%.
Sold LDIMay 24, 2024$150,515
Stock +32.0%; recorded comparison +28.2%; outcome in the trade's direction -3.8%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 24, 2024 · $150,515 · Form 4Stock +32.0% versus the recorded factor comparison +28.2%.
Sold LDIMar 17, 2025$654,372
Stock +221.1%; recorded comparison +157.5%; outcome in the trade's direction -63.6%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Mar 17, 2025 · $654,372 · Form 4Stock +221.1% versus the recorded factor comparison +157.5%.
Sold LDIJun 14, 2024$107,126
Stock +19.1%; recorded comparison +30.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +11.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 14, 2024 · $107,126 · Form 4Stock +19.1% versus the recorded factor comparison +30.4%.
Sold LDIJun 12, 2024$211,119
Stock +15.0%; recorded comparison +27.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +12.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 12, 2024 · $211,119 · Form 4Stock +15.0% versus the recorded factor comparison +27.4%.
Sold LDIJun 10, 2024$323,403
Stock +6.5%; recorded comparison +24.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +18.1%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 10, 2024 · $323,403 · Form 4Stock +6.5% versus the recorded factor comparison +24.6%.
Sold LDIJun 3, 2024$90,265
Stock +1.8%; recorded comparison +24.8%; outcome in the trade's direction +23.0%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 3, 2024 · $90,265 · Form 4Stock +1.8% versus the recorded factor comparison +24.8%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001655400. Profile company CIK 0001831631. loanDepot, Inc.
Recorded role: CEO · LDI.
39 obs. Confidence 99; 126-day hit rate 94.9%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 28.7):
Past calls: 59% directionally correct over 3 months (adjusted toward 50% peer prior; 66% observed; recency-weighted sample 28.7)
Descriptive statistic of past trades, not a prediction
How to read these past calls · As of 2026-11-13
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 37 of 39 represented trade dates; upper tail 3.652e-7; corrected within the horizon 7.744e-4, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.806e-3. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 3 windows, with 3 wins and upper tail 2.018e-1.
This rank comes from 0 purchases and 28 sales, measured over 126 trading days after disclosure. It is a sales-only record. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
35 trade dates · 2 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold SGAApr 3, 2025$151
Stock +10.6%; recorded comparison +32.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +22.1%.
2 reported lines and filing sources
Apr 3, 2025 · $38 · Form 4Stock +10.6% versus SPY +32.7%.
Apr 4, 2025 · $113 · Form 4Stock +10.6% versus SPY +32.7%.
Sold SGAApr 1, 2025$19,214
Stock +3.9%; recorded comparison +24.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +20.8%.
2 reported lines and filing sources
Apr 2, 2025 · $18,834 · Form 4Stock +3.9% versus SPY +24.7%.
Apr 1, 2025 · $380 · Form 4Stock +3.9% versus SPY +24.7%.
Sold SGAJun 16, 2025$1,038
Stock -6.5%; recorded comparison +12.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +18.9%.
2 reported lines and filing sources
Jun 16, 2025 · $625 · Form 4Stock -6.5% versus SPY +12.4%.
Jun 17, 2025 · $413 · Form 4Stock -6.5% versus SPY +12.4%.
Sold SGAJun 12, 2025$3,873
Stock -6.7%; recorded comparison +13.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +19.6%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 12, 2025 · $3,873 · Form 4Stock -6.7% versus SPY +13.0%.
Sold SGAJun 11, 2025$886
Stock -6.7%; recorded comparison +14.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +20.9%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 11, 2025 · $886 · Form 4Stock -6.7% versus SPY +14.1%.
Sold SGAJun 5, 2025$121,853
Stock -4.2%; recorded comparison +14.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +18.2%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 5, 2025 · $121,853 · Form 4Stock -4.2% versus SPY +14.0%.
Sold SGAJul 25, 2025$24,107
Stock -14.5%; recorded comparison +9.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +23.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jul 25, 2025 · $24,107 · Form 4Stock -14.5% versus SPY +9.2%.
Sold SGAJul 23, 2025$7,919
Stock -16.5%; recorded comparison +8.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +25.1%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jul 23, 2025 · $7,919 · Form 4Stock -16.5% versus SPY +8.6%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001944397. Profile company CIK 0000886136. SAGA COMMUNICATIONS INC
Recorded role: 10% Owner · SGA.
28 obs. Confidence 97; 126-day hit rate 100.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 21.5):
Past calls: 68% directionally correct over 3 months (adjusted toward 50% peer prior; 88% observed; recency-weighted sample 21.5)
Descriptive statistic of past trades, not a prediction
How to read these past calls · As of 2026-11-13
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 28 of 28 represented trade dates; upper tail 3.256e-7; corrected within the horizon 7.744e-4, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.806e-3. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 2 windows, with 2 wins and upper tail 3.440e-1.
This rank comes from 0 purchases and 21 sales, measured over 126 trading days after disclosure. It is a sales-only record. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
26 trade dates · 1 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold CCOIMay 29, 2025$1,172,593
Stock -58.3%; recorded comparison +28.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +87.2%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 29, 2025 · $1,172,593 · Form 4Stock -58.3% versus the recorded factor comparison +28.9%.
Sold CCOIMay 28, 2025$948,174
Stock -60.0%; recorded comparison +27.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +87.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 28, 2025 · $948,174 · Form 4Stock -60.0% versus the recorded factor comparison +27.5%.
Sold CCOIMay 27, 2025$973,322
Stock -61.7%; recorded comparison +29.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +90.9%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 27, 2025 · $973,322 · Form 4Stock -61.7% versus the recorded factor comparison +29.1%.
Sold CCOIMay 23, 2025$1,173,318
Stock -65.1%; recorded comparison +33.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +98.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 23, 2025 · $1,173,318 · Form 4Stock -65.1% versus the recorded factor comparison +33.2%.
Sold CCOIMay 22, 2025$1,156,768
Stock -63.6%; recorded comparison +35.3%; outcome in the trade's direction +99.0%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 22, 2025 · $1,156,768 · Form 4Stock -63.6% versus the recorded factor comparison +35.3%.
Sold CCOIMay 21, 2025$1,872,248
Stock -63.7%; recorded comparison +29.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +93.2%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 21, 2025 · $1,872,248 · Form 4Stock -63.7% versus the recorded factor comparison +29.6%.
Sold CCOIMay 20, 2025$749,348
Stock -63.1%; recorded comparison +26.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +89.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 20, 2025 · $749,348 · Form 4Stock -63.1% versus the recorded factor comparison +26.6%.
Sold CCOIMay 16, 2025$764,925
Stock -62.9%; recorded comparison +16.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +79.1%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 16, 2025 · $764,925 · Form 4Stock -62.9% versus the recorded factor comparison +16.1%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001166976. Profile company CIK 0001158324. COGENT COMMUNICATIONS HOLDINGS, INC.
Recorded role: CEO · CCOI.
21 obs. Confidence 93; 126-day hit rate 100.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 18.9):
Past calls: 70% directionally correct over 3 months (adjusted toward 50% peer prior; 95% observed; recency-weighted sample 18.9)
Descriptive statistic of past trades, not a prediction
How to read these past calls · As of 2026-11-13
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 21 of 21 represented trade dates; upper tail 1.363e-5; corrected within the horizon 9.635e-3, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 2.248e-2. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 1 windows, with 1 wins and upper tail 5.866e-1.
This rank comes from 0 purchases and 21 sales, measured over 126 trading days after disclosure. It is a sales-only record. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
21 trade dates · 1 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Sold MRNAJul 10, 2024$710,089
Stock -71.1%; recorded comparison +34.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +105.1%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jul 10, 2024 · $710,089 · Form 4Stock -71.1% versus the recorded factor comparison +34.1%.
Sold MRNAMay 8, 2024$240,741
Stock -60.1%; recorded comparison +22.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +82.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 8, 2024 · $240,741 · Form 4Stock -60.1% versus the recorded factor comparison +22.4%.
Sold MRNAMar 13, 2024$669,527
Stock -33.4%; recorded comparison -5.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +27.8%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Mar 13, 2024 · $669,527 · Form 4Stock -33.4% versus the recorded factor comparison -5.6%.
Sold MRNAMay 29, 2024$141,010
Stock -69.8%; recorded comparison +33.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +103.2%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 29, 2024 · $141,010 · Form 4Stock -69.8% versus the recorded factor comparison +33.4%.
Sold MRNAJun 12, 2024$100,079
Stock -70.1%; recorded comparison +35.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +106.0%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 12, 2024 · $100,079 · Form 4Stock -70.1% versus the recorded factor comparison +35.9%.
Sold MRNAMay 15, 2024$563,357
Stock -72.3%; recorded comparison +24.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +96.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 15, 2024 · $563,357 · Form 4Stock -72.3% versus the recorded factor comparison +24.4%.
Sold MRNAJun 26, 2024$301,814
Stock -66.2%; recorded comparison +29.3%; outcome in the trade's direction +95.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 26, 2024 · $301,814 · Form 4Stock -66.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +29.3%.
Sold MRNAJun 18, 2024$224,782
Stock -70.3%; recorded comparison +29.8%; outcome in the trade's direction +100.1%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 18, 2024 · $224,782 · Form 4Stock -70.3% versus the recorded factor comparison +29.8%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001222012. Profile company CIK 0001682852. Moderna, Inc.
21 obs. Confidence 93; 126-day hit rate 100.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Separate past-calls measure (3 months · sample 11.1):
Past calls: 54% directionally correct over 3 months (adjusted toward 50% peer prior; 63% observed; recency-weighted sample 11.1)
Descriptive statistic of past trades, not a prediction
How to read these past calls · As of 2026-11-13
Bullish calls are correct after outperformance; bearish calls are correct after underperformance, relative to SPY. Only directional buy and sell signals are graded. Gifts, grants and tax withholding are excluded. Recent outcomes receive more weight, with a half-life of 252 trading days. The peer prior contributes 24 equivalent outcomes. The weighted sample is not a count of trades.
Luck reference: 21 of 21 represented trade dates; upper tail 1.363e-5; corrected within the horizon 9.635e-3, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 2.248e-2. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 1 windows, with 1 wins and upper tail 5.866e-1.
This rank comes from 14 purchases and 0 sales, measured over 126 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
14 trade dates · 1 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Bought UBFOJun 11, 2024$59,436
Stock +42.7%; recorded comparison +11.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +31.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 11, 2024 · $59,436 · Form 4Stock +42.7% versus SPY +11.4%.
Bought UBFOJun 6, 2024$32,937
Stock +35.9%; recorded comparison +13.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +22.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 6, 2024 · $32,937 · Form 4Stock +35.9% versus SPY +13.5%.
Bought UBFOJun 5, 2024$5,126
Stock +35.6%; recorded comparison +13.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +21.9%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 5, 2024 · $5,126 · Form 4Stock +35.6% versus SPY +13.7%.
Bought UBFOJun 4, 2024$6,083
Stock +34.9%; recorded comparison +14.3%; outcome in the trade's direction +20.6%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 4, 2024 · $6,083 · Form 4Stock +34.9% versus SPY +14.3%.
Bought UBFOJun 3, 2024$1,827
Stock +35.5%; recorded comparison +14.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +21.2%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 3, 2024 · $1,827 · Form 4Stock +35.5% versus SPY +14.4%.
Bought UBFOMay 29, 2024$16,994
Stock +34.8%; recorded comparison +14.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +20.2%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 29, 2024 · $16,994 · Form 4Stock +34.8% versus SPY +14.6%.
Bought UBFOMay 17, 2024$7,903
Stock +28.7%; recorded comparison +11.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +17.8%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 17, 2024 · $7,903 · Form 4Stock +28.7% versus SPY +11.0%.
Bought UBFOMay 13, 2024$6,018
Stock +27.8%; recorded comparison +12.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +15.1%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 13, 2024 · $6,018 · Form 4Stock +27.8% versus SPY +12.7%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001981173. Profile company CIK 0001127371. Community West Bancshares
14 obs. Confidence 83; 126-day hit rate 100.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Luck reference: 14 of 14 represented trade dates; upper tail 1.230e-6; corrected within the horizon 1.739e-3, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 4.346e-3. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 1 windows, with 1 wins and upper tail 3.783e-1.
This rank comes from 12 purchases and 0 sales, measured over 126 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
12 trade dates · 3 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Bought RZLTMar 26, 2025$57,700
Stock +217.1%; recorded comparison +163.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +53.6%.
2 reported lines and filing sources
Mar 26, 2025 · $28,800 · Form 4Stock +217.1% versus the recorded factor comparison +163.5%.
Mar 26, 2025 · $28,900 · Form 4Stock +217.1% versus the recorded factor comparison +163.5%.
Bought RZLTDec 18, 2024$42,900
Stock +3.9%; recorded comparison -19.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +23.0%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 18, 2024 · $42,900 · Form 4Stock +3.9% versus the recorded factor comparison -19.0%.
Bought RZLTMar 15, 2024$33,830
Stock +156.3%; recorded comparison +83.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +73.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Mar 15, 2024 · $33,830 · Form 4Stock +156.3% versus the recorded factor comparison +83.1%.
Bought RZLTDec 12, 2024$41,400
Stock -11.0%; recorded comparison -33.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +22.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 12, 2024 · $41,400 · Form 4Stock -11.0% versus the recorded factor comparison -33.4%.
Bought RZLTJun 24, 2025$20,250
Stock -51.7%; recorded comparison -67.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +15.5%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 24, 2025 · $20,250 · Form 4Stock -51.7% versus the recorded factor comparison -67.1%.
Bought RZLTMay 23, 2024$165
Stock +31.7%; recorded comparison +6.5%; outcome in the trade's direction +25.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 23, 2024 · $165 · Form 4Stock +31.7% versus the recorded factor comparison +6.5%.
Bought RZLTFeb 16, 2024$54,411
Stock +199.3%; recorded comparison +100.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +98.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Feb 16, 2024 · $54,411 · Form 4Stock +199.3% versus the recorded factor comparison +100.6%.
Bought RZLTJun 14, 2024$161,568
Stock +16.2%; recorded comparison +3.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +12.6%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 14, 2024 · $161,568 · Form 4Stock +16.2% versus the recorded factor comparison +3.6%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001411726. Profile company CIK 0001509261. Rezolute, Inc.
Recorded role: CFO · RZLT.
12 obs. Confidence 78; 126-day hit rate 100.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Luck reference: 12 of 12 represented trade dates; upper tail 8.595e-6; corrected within the horizon 9.112e-3, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 1.771e-2. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 3 windows, with 3 wins and upper tail 5.414e-2.
This rank comes from 11 purchases and 0 sales, measured over 126 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
11 trade dates · 3 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Bought TKONov 14, 2023$999,974
Stock +31.0%; recorded comparison +8.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +22.6%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Nov 14, 2023 · $999,974 · Form 4Stock +31.0% versus the recorded factor comparison +8.4%.
Bought TKODec 16, 2024$1,377,450
Stock +24.4%; recorded comparison +5.9%; outcome in the trade's direction +18.6%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 16, 2024 · $1,377,450 · Form 4Stock +24.4% versus the recorded factor comparison +5.9%.
Bought TKODec 11, 2024$4,270,126
Stock +24.0%; recorded comparison +2.7%; outcome in the trade's direction +21.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Dec 11, 2024 · $4,270,126 · Form 4Stock +24.0% versus the recorded factor comparison +2.7%.
Bought TKOFeb 10, 2025$643,656
Stock +8.1%; recorded comparison -14.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +22.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Feb 10, 2025 · $643,656 · Form 4Stock +8.1% versus the recorded factor comparison -14.2%.
Bought TKOFeb 5, 2025$727,444
Stock +8.2%; recorded comparison -18.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +26.2%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Feb 5, 2025 · $727,444 · Form 4Stock +8.2% versus the recorded factor comparison -18.0%.
Bought TKOJan 31, 2025$3,654,514
Stock -1.4%; recorded comparison -14.6%; outcome in the trade's direction +13.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jan 31, 2025 · $3,654,514 · Form 4Stock -1.4% versus the recorded factor comparison -14.6%.
Bought TKOJan 23, 2025$1,829,891
Stock +9.6%; recorded comparison -9.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +18.6%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jan 23, 2025 · $1,829,891 · Form 4Stock +9.6% versus the recorded factor comparison -9.0%.
Bought TKOJan 28, 2025$975,599
Stock +5.2%; recorded comparison -12.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +17.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jan 28, 2025 · $975,599 · Form 4Stock +5.2% versus the recorded factor comparison -12.1%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 0001320234. Profile company CIK 0001973266. TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
Recorded role: Chief Executive Officer · TKO.
11 obs. Confidence 75; 126-day hit rate 100.0%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Luck reference: 11 of 11 represented trade dates; upper tail 2.272e-5; corrected within the horizon 1.376e-2, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 3.512e-2. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 3 windows, with 3 wins and upper tail 5.414e-2.
This rank comes from 22 purchases and 0 sales, measured over 126 trading days after disclosure. The score describes these past outcomes; it does not establish forecasting skill.
○ Buy · ◆ Sale · solid line: mean. Right of zero means a purchase beat its recorded comparison, or a sale lagged it.
22 trade dates · 1 nonoverlapping windows · 1 stock. One stock's trend can produce several wins.
Bought FXNCJun 4, 2024$7,812
Stock +17.2%; recorded comparison +19.0%; outcome in the trade's direction -1.8%.
2 reported lines and filing sources
Jun 4, 2024 · $62 · Form 4Stock -26.5% versus the recorded factor comparison -10.9%.
Jun 4, 2024 · $7,750 · Form 4Stock +60.9% versus the recorded factor comparison +48.8%.
Bought FXNCMay 13, 2024$9,701
Stock +54.1%; recorded comparison +48.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +5.7%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 13, 2024 · $9,701 · Form 4Stock +54.1% versus the recorded factor comparison +48.4%.
Bought FXNCJun 26, 2024$5,801
Stock +58.5%; recorded comparison +59.5%; outcome in the trade's direction -1.0%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 26, 2024 · $5,801 · Form 4Stock +58.5% versus the recorded factor comparison +59.5%.
Bought FXNCJun 12, 2024$15,500
Stock +68.4%; recorded comparison +63.1%; outcome in the trade's direction +5.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 12, 2024 · $15,500 · Form 4Stock +68.4% versus the recorded factor comparison +63.1%.
Bought FXNCJun 3, 2024$7,800
Stock +60.8%; recorded comparison +46.4%; outcome in the trade's direction +14.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 3, 2024 · $7,800 · Form 4Stock +60.8% versus the recorded factor comparison +46.4%.
Bought FXNCJun 27, 2024$7,500
Stock +53.4%; recorded comparison +53.0%; outcome in the trade's direction +0.4%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 27, 2024 · $7,500 · Form 4Stock +53.4% versus the recorded factor comparison +53.0%.
Bought FXNCMay 15, 2024$18,466
Stock +54.5%; recorded comparison +48.2%; outcome in the trade's direction +6.3%.
1 reported line and filing sources
May 15, 2024 · $18,466 · Form 4Stock +54.5% versus the recorded factor comparison +48.2%.
Bought FXNCJun 20, 2024$12,120
Stock +61.6%; recorded comparison +54.8%; outcome in the trade's direction +6.8%.
1 reported line and filing sources
Jun 20, 2024 · $12,120 · Form 4Stock +61.6% versus the recorded factor comparison +54.8%.
Technical details
Stored snapshot 2026-11-13; calculation insider-iq-person-score.v3. Each mark averages only the filed lines sharing the production score's decision or entry window. Its stored score and counts are checked against these inputs before the record is drawn.
Insider CIK 1252758. Profile company CIK ticker:FXNC. FXNC
22 obs. Confidence 94; 126-day hit rate 81.8%. Confidence measures the sample, not a probability of future success.
Luck reference: 18 of 22 represented trade dates; upper tail 3.140e-5; corrected within the horizon 1.665e-2, across 24734 person/horizon comparisons 3.698e-2. Overlapping windows, shared stocks and a reference estimated from the same history limit this interpretation. The nonoverlapping sensitivity keeps 1 windows, with 0 wins and upper tail 1.000e+0.
One entry per filing selected from the current 90-day scored feed. Derivatives and known open-market trades below $10,000 are excluded from conviction scoring. These are reported transactions, not live trades. A trade score and an insider's historical Alpha IQ measure different things.