SIERRA BANCORP
For the period ended Jun 30, 2024. Filed Aug 5, 2024.
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A company's report for each of its first three quarters. The financial statements are not audited. It shows how the business has moved since the last annual report, and what management says changed.
Jun 30, 2024 · Filed Aug 5, 2024
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Liquidity and Market Risk Management
LIQUIDITY
The Company continues to have substantial liquidity though unencumbered assets and available borrowings. In addition, the Company’s loan-to-deposit ratio was 76% at both June 30, 2024, and December 31, 2023.
Liquidity management refers to the Company’s ability to maintain cash flows that are adequate to fund operations and meet other obligations and commitments in a timely and cost-effective manner. Detailed cash flow projections are reviewed by Management on a monthly basis, with various stress scenarios applied to assess our ability to meet liquidity needs under unusual or adverse conditions. Liquidity ratios are also calculated and reviewed on a regular basis. While those ratios are merely indicators and are not measures of actual liquidity, they are closely monitored, and we are committed to maintaining adequate liquidity resources to draw upon should unexpected needs arise.
The Company, on occasion, experiences cash needs as the result of loan growth, deposit outflows, asset purchases or liability repayments. To meet these short-term needs, we can borrow overnight funds from other financial institutions, draw advances via FHLB lines of credit, or solicit brokered deposits if customer deposits are not immediately obtainable from local sources.
At June 30, 2024, and December 31, 2023, the Company had the following sources of primary and secondary liquidity (dollars in thousands):
| | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary and secondary liquidity sources | | | June 30, 2024 | | | December 31, 2023 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | | $183,990 | | $78,602 | ||
| Unpledged investment securities | | | 533,799 | | | 792,965 |
| Excess pledged securities | | | 272,869 | | | 382,965 |
| FHLB borrowing availability | | | 672,300 | | | 586,726 |
| Unsecured lines of credit | | | 504,785 | | | 374,785 |
| Funds available through fed discount window | | | 348,444 | | | 392,034 |
| Totals | | $2,516,187 | | $2,608,077 |
Available funding sources detailed above of $2.5 billion represented 86% of total deposits and 312% of estimated uninsured and/or uncollateralized deposits as of June 30, 2024. Unpledged investment securities include $266.4 million of CLOs. As CLO’s have a rate that resets every 90 days to current rates, the volatility of pricing of these securities is limited and the Company could sell such securities for liquidity at a significantly lower loss than selling lower rate fixed term securities such as US government bonds or municipal bonds.
The Company performs regular stress tests on its liquidity and at this time, believes that we have sufficient primary and secondary liquidity sources for operations.
The Company has a higher level of actual balance sheet liquidity than might otherwise be the case since we utilize a letter of credit from the FHLB rather than investment securities for certain pledging requirements. That letter of credit, which is backed by loans pledged to the FHLB by the Company, totaled $125 million at June 30, 2024, and December 31, 2023. Other sources of liquidity include the brokered deposit market, deposit listing services, Intrafi, and the ability to offer local time-deposit campaigns. Management is of the opinion that available investments and other potentially liquid assets, along with standby funding sources it has arranged, are more than sufficient to meet the Company’s current and anticipated short-term liquidity needs.
The Company’s primary liquidity ratio and gross loans to deposits were 23.45% and 75.95%, respectively, at June 30, 2024, as compared to internal policy guidelines of “greater than 15%” and “less than 95%.” Ratios and sub-limits for the various components comprising wholesale funding, which were all well within policy guidelines at June 30, 2024, are also periodically reviewed by Management and the Board. The Company has been able to maintain a robust liquidity position in recent periods, but no assurance can be provided that our liquidity position will continue at current strong levels.
The holding company’s primary uses of funds include operating expenses incurred in the normal course of business, interest on trust preferred securities and subordinated debt, shareholder dividends, and share repurchases. Its primary source of funds is dividends from the Bank since the holding company does not conduct regular banking operations. As of June 30, 2024, the holding company maintained a cash balance of $15.8 million. Management anticipates that the holding company has sufficient liquidity to meet its funding requirements for the foreseeable future. Both the holding company and the Bank are subject to legal and regulatory limitations on dividend payments, as outlined in Item 5(c) Dividends in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023, which was filed with the SEC.
INTEREST RATE RISK MANAGEMENT
Market risk arises from changes in interest rates, exchange rates, commodity prices and equity prices. The Company does not engage in the trading of financial instruments, nor does it have exposure to currency exchange rates. Our market risk exposure is primarily that of interest rate risk, and we have established policies and procedures to monitor and limit our earnings and balance sheet exposure to changes in interest rates. The principal objective of interest rate risk management is to manage the financial components of the Company’s balance sheet in a manner that will optimize the risk/reward equation for earnings and capital under a variety of interest rate scenarios.
To identify areas of potential exposure to interest rate changes, we utilize commercially available modeling software to perform monthly earnings simulations and calculate the Company’s market value of portfolio equity under varying interest rate scenarios. The model imports relevant information for the Company’s financial instruments and incorporates Management’s assumptions on pricing, duration, and optionality for anticipated new volumes. Assumptions regarding
deposit betas in the up cycles can range from 25 to 100% and from 0 to 50% in the down cycles depending on the deposit type. Deposit decay rate assumptions range from 5 to 10% and are based on historical averages. Prepayment speeds are based on three-year historical averages. Various rate scenarios consisting of key rate and yield curve projections are then applied in order to calculate the expected effect of a given interest rate change on interest income, interest expense, and the value of the Company’s financial instruments. The rate projections can be shocked (an immediate and parallel change in all base rates, up or down), ramped (an incremental increase or decrease in rates over a specified time period), economic (based on current trends and econometric models) or stable (unchanged from current actual levels).
In addition to a stable rate scenario, which presumes that there are no changes in interest rates, we typically use at least eight other interest rate scenarios in conducting our rolling 12-month net interest income simulations: upward shocks of 100, 200, 300, and 400 basis points, and downward shocks of 100, 200, and 300 basis points. Those scenarios may be supplemented, reduced in number, or otherwise adjusted as determined by Management to provide the most meaningful simulations considering economic conditions and expectations at the time. Pursuant to policy guidelines, we generally attempt to limit the projected decline in net interest income relative to the stable rate scenario to no more than 5% for a 100 basis point interest rate shock, 10% for a 200 basis point shock, 15% for a 300 basis point shock, and 20% for a 400 basis point shock.
The Company had the following estimated net interest income sensitivity profiles over one-year, without factoring in any potential negative impact on spreads resulting from competitive pressures or credit quality deterioration:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| · · June 30, 2024 · · June 30, 2023 | ||||||||||||
| Immediate change in Interest Rates (basis points) · · % Change in Net Interest Income · · $ Change in Net Interest Income · · % Change in Net Interest Income · · $ Change in Net Interest Income | ||||||||||||
| +400 | | | 10.0% | | $13,133 | | | (6.1)% | | $(7,322) | ||
| +300 | | | 7.5% | | $9,865 | | | (4.4)% | | $(5,297) | ||
| +200 | | | 5.0% | | $6,616 | | | (2.0)% | | $(2,428) | ||
| +100 | | | 2.5% | | $3,349 | | | (0.4)% | | $(448) | ||
| Base | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| -100 | | | (5.8)% | | $(7,612) | | | (2.1)% | | $(2,493) | ||
| -200 | | | (11.8)% | | $(15,512) | | | (2.9)% | | $(3,542) | ||
| -300 | | | (17.4)% | | $(22,922) | | | (5.6)% | | | (6,762) | |
| -400 | | | (21.9)% | | $(28,798) | | | (8.2)% | | | (9,866) | |
For the period ending June 30, 2024, management believes that the Company was asset sensitive, with net income increasing in a rising rate scenario and decreasing in declining rate scenarios.
The shift from being liability sensitive at June 30, 2023 to asset sensitive at June 30, 2024, is due mostly to the decrease in the level of overnight borrowings both in Fed Funds purchased and overnight FHLB borrowings, a decrease in fixed rate bonds (which were sold to payoff higher cost borrowings that reprice daily), combined with an increase in mortgage warehouse line utilization which is very short-term.
The change in net interest income is similar for the up 100, 200, 300, and 400 basis point scenarios. If there were an immediate and sustained upward adjustment of 100 basis points in interest rates, all else being equal, net interest income over the next 12 months is projected to increase by $3.3 million, or 2.5%, relative to a stable interest rate scenario, with the favorable variance increasing as interest rates rise higher.
If there was an immediate downward adjustment of 100 basis points in interest rates, net interest income would drop $7.6 million or a negative variance of 5.8%. The change in net interest income in the down 200 basis point scenario is a decrease of $15.5 million or 11.8%. As a significant portion of the Company’s deposits remain in noninterest-bearing accounts or low-cost deposit accounts, in a down rate scenario, these rates would not change or only change slightly. However, floating rate earning assets (loans and deposits) would reprice downward more than the decline in floating rate liabilities. All interest rate downward shock scenarios are outside of internal policy guidelines, and all upward rate shock scenarios are within internal policy guidelines. Although interest rate downward shock scenarios are outside of internal policy guidelines, the starting point has also increased as a result of the aforementioned balance sheet restructuring. Management also models other down rate scenarios that do not assume a simultaneous shock of all rate curves including short-term and long-term curves. Given the current inverted rate curve, shocking all curves tends to overstate the sensitivity to a change in rate. Management evaluates the part of the curve that is most sensitive to rate declines and is currently looking at various balance sheet management strategies to manage the highest risks.
In addition to the net interest income simulations shown above, we run stress scenarios for the unconsolidated Bank where we model the possibility of no balance sheet growth, the potential runoff of “surge” core deposits which flowed into the Bank in the most recent economic cycle, and unfavorable movement in deposit rates relative to yields on earning assets (i.e., higher deposit betas). The most significant impact to net interest income in the net interest income simulations is the reduction or migration of low-cost deposits.
The text of this filing, as the company filed it with the SEC, without its images or exhibits. This is not investment advice.